房价与配置不当:抵押品渠道对生产率的影响

Sergi Basco, David Lopez-Rodriguez, Enrique Moral-Benito
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了当地房价暴涨对行业内资本错配的影响。利用西班牙房地产繁荣(2003-2007 年)带来的地域差异,我们发现,受到当地房价正向冲击的企业,如果拥有较高比例的房地产资产,就会获得更多的银行信贷,投资增长也会更快。这种抵押品渠道导致行业内资本-劳动比率的离散性增加。反事实计算表明,这一渠道产生的资本错配可以解释西班牙经济在房地产繁荣时期经历的全要素生产率下降的 40%左右。
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House prices and misallocation: the impact of the collateral channel on productivity
This paper investigates the impact of local house price booms on capital misallocation within industries. Using the geographical variation provided by the Spanish housing boom (2003-2007), we show that firms exposed to positive local house price shocks received more bank credit and their investment grew more when they had a higher proportion of real estate assets. This collateral channel results in an increasing dispersion of the capital-labor ratio within industries. A counterfactual calculation suggests that the capital misallocation generated by this channel can account for around 40% of the TFP decline experienced by the Spanish economy during the housing boom.
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