城市规模的长期相关性指标

Yunfei Li, Deniz Ural, Jan W Kantelhardt, D. Rybski
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摘要

城市系统的特点是城市在区域或国家范围内的功能组织。虽然人们对城市规模分布有了相对较好的经验和理论认识,但对其空间组织的认识仍停留在概念层面。在此,我们从经验角度分析了城市规模(按面积计算)之间的长距离相关性。因此,我们(i)定义城市群,(ii)从 Voronoi 单元获得邻域网络,(iii)沿所有最短路径进行波动分析。我们发现,大多数欧洲国家表现出长程相关性,但在一些情况下,这些相关性是反相关的。通过类似的方法,我们研究了一个受中心区理论启发的模型,发现该模型会导致正的长程相关性,除非存在强烈的额外空间无序--这与直觉相反。我们得出的结论是,城市之间的互动会延伸到很远的距离,甚至达到国家尺度。我们的发现具有政策意义,因为城市的发展或衰落会影响到相当远距离的城市。
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Indication of long-range correlations governing city size
City systems are characterized by the functional organization of cities on a regional or country scale. While there is a relatively good empirical and theoretical understanding of city size distributions, insights about their spatial organization remain on a conceptual level. Here we analyze empirically the correlations between the sizes of cities (in terms of area) across long distances. Therefore, we (i) define city clusters, (ii) obtain the neighborhood network from Voronoi cells, and (iii) apply a fluctuation analysis along all shortest paths. We find that most European countries exhibit long-range correlations but in several cases these are anti-correlations. In an analogous way we study a model inspired by Central Places Theory and find that it leads to positive long-range correlations, unless there is strong additional spatial disorder – contrary to intuition. We conclude that the interactions between cities extend over large distances reaching the country scale. Our findings have policy relevance as urban development or decline can affect cities at a considerable distance.
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