利用巴尔干半岛的可再生能源潜力

Adi Vokshi, Denitza Zgureva-Filipova and Detelin Markov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

巴尔干半岛为利用可再生能源 (RES) 以可持续的方式满足日益增长的能源需求提供了一个独特而有说服力的案例研究。本文调查了该地区十一个国家的可再生能源部署现状和未来潜力:阿尔巴尼亚、波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那、保加利亚、克罗地亚、希腊、科索沃、黑山、北马其顿、罗马尼亚、塞尔维亚和斯洛文尼亚。在这份综合分析报告中,我们首先利用国际可再生能源机构 (IRENA) 和国家能源机构等权威来源提供的数据,概述了这些国家 2021 年的可再生能源装机容量。在此基础上,我们深入研究了该地区的风能和太阳能潜力,利用地理信息系统 (GIS) 数据和建模技术来评估资源的可用性和可行性。此外,我们还探讨了在巴尔干地区最大限度地利用太阳能的两种不同方案。首先,我们分析了太阳能电池板覆盖每个国家整个领土的影响,估算了潜在的发电量及其与当前消费水平的关系。其次,我们采用更加务实的方法,重点关注在能源生产潜力最大的地区战略性地部署太阳能电池板,同时考虑土地使用限制和环境因素。除了评估可再生能源部署的技术和经济方面,我们还从减少碳排放的角度量化了环境效益。通过比较可再生能源与传统化石燃料发电的排放量,我们强调了可再生能源对减缓气候变化和实现可持续发展目标的重大贡献。总之,本文强调了巴尔干地区可再生能源的巨大潜力,并强调了战略规划和政策干预对释放这一潜力的重要性。通过利用该地区丰富的自然资源和采用创新技术,巴尔干国家可以规划出一条通往更具复原力、公平和可持续能源未来的道路。
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Harnessing RES Potential in Balkan Peninsula
The Balkan Peninsula presents a unique and compelling case study for the harnessing of renewable energy sources (RES) to meet growing energy demands sustainably. This paper investigates the current status and future potential of RES deployment across eleven countries in the region: Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Kosovo, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Romania, Serbia, and Slovenia. In this comprehensive analysis, we begin by providing an overview of the installed capacity of RES in these countries for the year 2021, drawing upon data from reputable sources such as the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) and national energy agencies. Building upon this foundation, we delve into an in-depth examination of the wind and solar energy potential in the region, utilizing geographic information system (GIS) data and modelling techniques to assess resource availability and feasibility. Furthermore, we explore two distinct scenarios for maximizing solar energy deployment in the Balkans. Firstly, we analyse the implications of covering the entire territory of each country with solar panels, estimating the potential electricity production and its relation to current consumption levels. Secondly, we use a more pragmatic approach, focusing on the strategic deployment of solar panels in areas with the highest energy generation potential, while considering land use constraints and environmental considerations. In addition to evaluating the technical and economic aspects of RES deployment, we also quantify the environmental benefits in terms of carbon emissions reduction. By comparing emissions from renewable sources with those from conventional fossil fuel-based electricity generation, we highlight the significant contribution of RES to mitigating climate change and achieving sustainability goals. In conclusion, this paper underscores the immense potential of renewable energy in the Balkans and emphasizes the importance of strategic planning and policy interventions to unlock this potential. By leveraging the region’s abundant natural resources and embracing innovative technologies, the Balkan countries can chart a course towards a more resilient, equitable, and sustainable energy future.
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