{"title":"俄罗斯境内从农村向城市的迁移:前景和驱动因素","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100053","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study investigates migration flows between urban and rural areas in Russia from 2011 to 2020 and explores potential drivers using a combination of Markov chain and spatial interaction modelling approaches. The findings indicate a high likelihood of rural-to-urban migration, leading to increased urbanization pressure and depopulation of rural areas in the country, further worsened by high mortality and low fertility rates. Socioeconomic and environmental factors, including population size, wages, employment, housing availability and precipitation, have a significant impact on migration flows, and the effects tend to vary according to whether the origin and destination are rural or urban. In general, origin effects are more pronounced than destination effects, meaning that the decision to migrate in Russia is mainly influenced by departure factors.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45520,"journal":{"name":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1757780224001781/pdfft?md5=b7be328196ca83b390c269dd8458c16c&pid=1-s2.0-S1757780224001781-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Rural-urban migration within Russia: Prospects and drivers\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.rspp.2024.100053\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This study investigates migration flows between urban and rural areas in Russia from 2011 to 2020 and explores potential drivers using a combination of Markov chain and spatial interaction modelling approaches. The findings indicate a high likelihood of rural-to-urban migration, leading to increased urbanization pressure and depopulation of rural areas in the country, further worsened by high mortality and low fertility rates. Socioeconomic and environmental factors, including population size, wages, employment, housing availability and precipitation, have a significant impact on migration flows, and the effects tend to vary according to whether the origin and destination are rural or urban. In general, origin effects are more pronounced than destination effects, meaning that the decision to migrate in Russia is mainly influenced by departure factors.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":45520,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Regional Science Policy and Practice\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-04-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1757780224001781/pdfft?md5=b7be328196ca83b390c269dd8458c16c&pid=1-s2.0-S1757780224001781-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Regional Science Policy and Practice\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1757780224001781\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"GEOGRAPHY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Regional Science Policy and Practice","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1757780224001781","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"GEOGRAPHY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Rural-urban migration within Russia: Prospects and drivers
This study investigates migration flows between urban and rural areas in Russia from 2011 to 2020 and explores potential drivers using a combination of Markov chain and spatial interaction modelling approaches. The findings indicate a high likelihood of rural-to-urban migration, leading to increased urbanization pressure and depopulation of rural areas in the country, further worsened by high mortality and low fertility rates. Socioeconomic and environmental factors, including population size, wages, employment, housing availability and precipitation, have a significant impact on migration flows, and the effects tend to vary according to whether the origin and destination are rural or urban. In general, origin effects are more pronounced than destination effects, meaning that the decision to migrate in Russia is mainly influenced by departure factors.
期刊介绍:
Regional Science Policy & Practice (RSPP) is the official policy and practitioner orientated journal of the Regional Science Association International. It is an international journal that publishes high quality papers in applied regional science that explore policy and practice issues in regional and local development. It welcomes papers from a range of academic disciplines and practitioners including planning, public policy, geography, economics and environmental science and related fields. Papers should address the interface between academic debates and policy development and application. RSPP provides an opportunity for academics and policy makers to develop a dialogue to identify and explore many of the challenges facing local and regional economies.