Computational modeling of drug response identifies mutant-specific constraints for dosing panRAF and MEK inhibitors in melanoma

Purpose: This study explores the potential of preclinical in vitro cell line response data and computational modeling in identifying optimal dosage requirements of pan-RAF (Belvarafenib) and MEK (Cobimetinib) inhibitors in melanoma treatment. Our research is motivated by the critical role of drug combinations in enhancing anti-cancer responses and the need to close the knowledge gap around selecting effective dosing strategies to maximize their potential. Results: In a drug combination screen of 43 melanoma cell lines, we identified unique dosage landscapes of panRAF and MEK inhibitors for NRAS vs BRAF mutant melanomas. Both experienced benefits, but with a notably more synergistic and narrow dosage range for NRAS mutant melanoma. Computational modeling and molecular experiments attributed the difference to a mechanism of adaptive resistance by negative feedback. We validated in vivo translatability of in vitro dose-response maps by accurately predicting tumor growth in xenografts. Then, we analyzed pharmacokinetic and tumor growth data from Phase 1 clinical trials of Belvarafenib with Cobimetinib to show that the synergy requirement imposes stricter precision dose constraints in NRAS mutant melanoma patients. Conclusion: Leveraging pre-clinical data and computational modeling, our approach proposes dosage strategies that can optimize synergy in drug combinations, while also bringing forth the real-world challenges of staying within a precise dose range.