Soo Kyung Park, Darwin L Conwell, Phil A Hart, Shuang Li, Kimberly Stello, Evan L Fogel, William E Fisher, Christopher E Forsmark, Stephen J Pandol, Walter G Park, Mark Topazian, Jose Serrano, Santhi Swaroop Vege, Stephen K Van Den Eeden, Liang Li, Dhiraj Yadav, Jami L Saloman
{"title":"评估美国队列中的慢性胰腺炎预后评分。","authors":"Soo Kyung Park, Darwin L Conwell, Phil A Hart, Shuang Li, Kimberly Stello, Evan L Fogel, William E Fisher, Christopher E Forsmark, Stephen J Pandol, Walter G Park, Mark Topazian, Jose Serrano, Santhi Swaroop Vege, Stephen K Van Den Eeden, Liang Li, Dhiraj Yadav, Jami L Saloman","doi":"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000758","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Chronic Pancreatitis Prognosis Score (COPPS) was developed to discriminate disease severity and predict risk for future hospitalizations. In this cohort study, we evaluated if COPPS predicts the likelihood of hospitalization(s) in an American cohort.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer consortium provided data and serum from subjects with chronic pancreatitis (N = 279). COPPS was calculated with baseline data and stratified by severity (low, moderate, and high). Primary endpoints included number and duration of hospitalizations during 12-month follow-up.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The mean ± SD COPPS was 8.4 ± 1.6. COPPS correlated with all primary outcomes: hospitalizations for any reason (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.01; duration: r = 0.16, P = 0.01) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.02; duration: r = 0.13, P = 0.04). The severity distribution was 13.3% low, 66.0% moderate, and 20.8% high. 37.6% of subjects had ≥1 hospitalization(s) for any reason; 32.2% had ≥1 pancreas-related hospitalizations. All primary outcomes were significantly different between severity groups: hospitalizations for any reason (number, P = 0.004; duration, P = 0.007) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number, P = 0.02; duration, P = 0.04). The prevalence of continued drinking at follow-up ( P = 0.04) was higher in the low and moderate groups. The prevalence of anxiety at enrollment ( P = 0.02) and follow-up ( P < 0.05) was higher in the moderate and high groups.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>Statistically, COPPS significantly correlated with hospitalization outcomes, but the correlations were weaker than in previous studies, which may be related to the outpatient nature of the PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies cohort and lower prevalence of high severity disease. Studies in other prospective cohorts are needed to understand the full utility of COPPS as a potential tool for clinical risk assessment and intervention.</p>","PeriodicalId":10278,"journal":{"name":"Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis Prognosis Score in an American Cohort.\",\"authors\":\"Soo Kyung Park, Darwin L Conwell, Phil A Hart, Shuang Li, Kimberly Stello, Evan L Fogel, William E Fisher, Christopher E Forsmark, Stephen J Pandol, Walter G Park, Mark Topazian, Jose Serrano, Santhi Swaroop Vege, Stephen K Van Den Eeden, Liang Li, Dhiraj Yadav, Jami L Saloman\",\"doi\":\"10.14309/ctg.0000000000000758\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Chronic Pancreatitis Prognosis Score (COPPS) was developed to discriminate disease severity and predict risk for future hospitalizations. In this cohort study, we evaluated if COPPS predicts the likelihood of hospitalization(s) in an American cohort.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer consortium provided data and serum from subjects with chronic pancreatitis (N = 279). COPPS was calculated with baseline data and stratified by severity (low, moderate, and high). Primary endpoints included number and duration of hospitalizations during 12-month follow-up.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The mean ± SD COPPS was 8.4 ± 1.6. COPPS correlated with all primary outcomes: hospitalizations for any reason (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.01; duration: r = 0.16, P = 0.01) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.02; duration: r = 0.13, P = 0.04). The severity distribution was 13.3% low, 66.0% moderate, and 20.8% high. 37.6% of subjects had ≥1 hospitalization(s) for any reason; 32.2% had ≥1 pancreas-related hospitalizations. All primary outcomes were significantly different between severity groups: hospitalizations for any reason (number, P = 0.004; duration, P = 0.007) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number, P = 0.02; duration, P = 0.04). The prevalence of continued drinking at follow-up ( P = 0.04) was higher in the low and moderate groups. The prevalence of anxiety at enrollment ( P = 0.02) and follow-up ( P < 0.05) was higher in the moderate and high groups.</p><p><strong>Discussion: </strong>Statistically, COPPS significantly correlated with hospitalization outcomes, but the correlations were weaker than in previous studies, which may be related to the outpatient nature of the PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies cohort and lower prevalence of high severity disease. Studies in other prospective cohorts are needed to understand the full utility of COPPS as a potential tool for clinical risk assessment and intervention.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":10278,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-13\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.14309/ctg.0000000000000758\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.14309/ctg.0000000000000758","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis Prognosis Score in an American Cohort.
Introduction: Chronic Pancreatitis Prognosis Score (COPPS) was developed to discriminate disease severity and predict risk for future hospitalizations. In this cohort study, we evaluated if COPPS predicts the likelihood of hospitalization(s) in an American cohort.
Methods: The Chronic Pancreatitis, Diabetes, and Pancreatic Cancer consortium provided data and serum from subjects with chronic pancreatitis (N = 279). COPPS was calculated with baseline data and stratified by severity (low, moderate, and high). Primary endpoints included number and duration of hospitalizations during 12-month follow-up.
Results: The mean ± SD COPPS was 8.4 ± 1.6. COPPS correlated with all primary outcomes: hospitalizations for any reason (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.01; duration: r = 0.16, P = 0.01) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number: r = 0.15, P = 0.02; duration: r = 0.13, P = 0.04). The severity distribution was 13.3% low, 66.0% moderate, and 20.8% high. 37.6% of subjects had ≥1 hospitalization(s) for any reason; 32.2% had ≥1 pancreas-related hospitalizations. All primary outcomes were significantly different between severity groups: hospitalizations for any reason (number, P = 0.004; duration, P = 0.007) and pancreas-related hospitalizations (number, P = 0.02; duration, P = 0.04). The prevalence of continued drinking at follow-up ( P = 0.04) was higher in the low and moderate groups. The prevalence of anxiety at enrollment ( P = 0.02) and follow-up ( P < 0.05) was higher in the moderate and high groups.
Discussion: Statistically, COPPS significantly correlated with hospitalization outcomes, but the correlations were weaker than in previous studies, which may be related to the outpatient nature of the PROspective Evaluation of Chronic Pancreatitis for EpidEmiologic and Translational StuDies cohort and lower prevalence of high severity disease. Studies in other prospective cohorts are needed to understand the full utility of COPPS as a potential tool for clinical risk assessment and intervention.
期刊介绍:
Clinical and Translational Gastroenterology (CTG), published on behalf of the American College of Gastroenterology (ACG), is a peer-reviewed open access online journal dedicated to innovative clinical work in the field of gastroenterology and hepatology. CTG hopes to fulfill an unmet need for clinicians and scientists by welcoming novel cohort studies, early-phase clinical trials, qualitative and quantitative epidemiologic research, hypothesis-generating research, studies of novel mechanisms and methodologies including public health interventions, and integration of approaches across organs and disciplines. CTG also welcomes hypothesis-generating small studies, methods papers, and translational research with clear applications to human physiology or disease.
Colon and small bowel
Endoscopy and novel diagnostics
Esophagus
Functional GI disorders
Immunology of the GI tract
Microbiology of the GI tract
Inflammatory bowel disease
Pancreas and biliary tract
Liver
Pathology
Pediatrics
Preventative medicine
Nutrition/obesity
Stomach.