水-能源-粮食关系耦合协调度对中国粮食安全影响的实证分析

IF 3.7 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Current Research in Environmental Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.crsust.2024.100261
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于气候变化、人口增长、水资源短缺和生物能源开发,许多国家的粮食安全面临挑战。本研究通过促进粮食安全和资源可持续性的多维方法,量化水-能源-粮食(WEF)关系耦合协调对中国粮食安全的影响。我们首先利用熵权 TOPSIS(与理想解相似的排序偏好技术)方法量化了水-能-粮关系的耦合协调度。然后采用普通最小二乘法多元线性回归模型,探讨世界环境基金关系耦合协调度对粮食安全的影响。结果表明,WEF 耦合协调度每提高 1%,粮食总产量、人均粮食产量、单位粮食产量分别提高 2.69%、1.12% 和 2.77%。研究还发现,提高 WEF 耦合协调度有利于提高粮食自给率和稳定粮价。而粮食增产是通过增加有效灌溉面积和农业机械投入实现的。此外,异质性分析表明,世界粮食生产网络对中部地区粮食总产和人均单产的影响更为显著,对西部地区粮食单产的提高更为有效。同时,交互项分析表明,种植结构、农业补贴和节水技术都加强了 WEF 关系对粮食安全的积极贡献。
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An empirical analysis of the impact of the coupling coordination degree of the water-energy-food nexus on food security in China

Food security has been challenging in many countries due to climate change, population growth, water scarcity, and bio-energy development. This work quantifies the impact of water-energy-food (WEF) nexus coupling coordination on food security in China through a multidimensional approach to promote food security and resource sustainability. We first quantify the coupling coordination degree of the WEF nexus using the entropy weight TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) method. And then Ordinary Least Squares Multiple Linear Regression model is employed to explore the impact of the WEF nexus coupling coordination degree on food security. The findings show that an improvement of 1% in the coupling coordination degree of the WEF increases the total grain yield, per capita grain yield, grain yield per unit by 2.69%, 1.12% and 2.77%, respectively. It is also found that improvement of WEF coupling coordination is conducive to enhancing food self-sufficiency rate and stabilizing food price. And the increment in grain yield is achieved by increasing the effective irrigated area and agricultural machinery inputs. Furthermore, the heterogeneity analysis reveals that the effect of the WEF nexus on the total grain yield and per capita yield is more significant in the central region, and the improvement of grain yield per unit is more effective in the west. Meanwhile, the interaction term analysis demonstrates that cropping structure, agricultural subsidies, and water-saving technologies all strengthen the positive contribution of the WEF nexus to food security.

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来源期刊
Current Research in Environmental Sustainability
Current Research in Environmental Sustainability Environmental Science-General Environmental Science
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
9.10%
发文量
76
审稿时长
95 days
期刊最新文献
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