Prognostic value of grey-white matter ratio obtained within two hours after return of spontaneous circulation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors: A multicenter, observational study

Background

Grey-white matter ratio (GWR) measured by head computed tomography (CT) scan is known as a neurological prognostication tool for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors. The prognostic value of GWR obtained early (within two hours after return of spontaneous circulation [ROSC]) remains a matter of debate.

Methods

We conducted a multicenter, retrospective, observational study at five hospitals. We included adult OHCA survivors who underwent head CT within two hours following ROSC. GWR values were measured using head CT. Average GWR values were calculated by the mean of the GWR-basal ganglia and GWR-Cerebrum. We divided the patients into poor or favorable neurological outcome groups defined by Glasgow-Pittsburgh Cerebral Performance Category scores. The predictive accuracy of GWR performance was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC). The sensitivities and specificities for predicting poor outcome were examined.

Results

Of 377 eligible patients, 281 (74.5%) showed poor neurological outcomes at one month after ROSC. Average GWR values of the poor neurological outcome group were significantly lower than those of the favorable neurological outcome. The average GWR value to predict neurological outcome with Youden index was 1.24 with AUC of 0.799. When average GWR values were 1.15 or lower, poor neurological outcomes could be predicted with 100% specificity.

Conclusions

GWR values measured by head CT scans early (within two hours after ROSC) demonstrated moderate predictive performance for overall ROSC patients. When limited to the patients with GWR values of 1.15 or lower, poor neurological outcomes could be predicted with high specificity.