通过大规模灾难中的牙科对比分析进行积极识别:系统回顾和荟萃分析。

IF 1.5 4区 医学 Q2 MEDICINE, LEGAL Forensic Science, Medicine and Pathology Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI:10.1007/s12024-024-00876-7
Rizky Merdietio Boedi, Nikolaos Angelakopoulos, Emilio Nuzzolese, Hemlata Pandey, Scheila Mânica, Ademir Franco
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究旨在评估通过牙科对比分析(CDA)实现阳性身份识别的概率,并确定在大规模灾难情况下影响其成功率的因素:我们在六个数据库中进行了电子文献检索,以查找同时报告了大规模灾难受害者总人数和仅通过CDA鉴定的受害者人数的观察性研究。以通过CDA确认的遇难者比例作为效应大小,进行了随机效应荟萃分析,并根据灾害类型(自然或非自然)、灾害分类(开放或封闭)和地理区域(即欧洲、亚洲)进行了分组分析:搜索结果显示,共有 3133 个条目,其中 32 项研究符合条件。大多数研究(96.8%)的偏倚风险较低。荟萃分析显示,平均加权比例概率为 0.32,表明法医牙科学可以识别大规模灾难中约三分之一的受害者。在封闭式大规模灾难中,牙科比较鉴定的概率是开放式灾难的三倍(P 结论):目前的结果表明,在假设的场景中,CDA 可以识别大约 32% 的受害者,这强调了牙齿和法医牙科学在受害者识别框架中不可或缺的作用。
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Positive identification through comparative dental analysis in mass disaster: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Purpose: The study aimed to assess the probability of achieving positive identification through comparative dental analysis (CDA) and to determine the factors that influence its success rate in mass disaster scenarios.

Methods: An electronic literature search was conducted across six databases for observational studies that reported both the total number of mass disaster victims and the count of victims identified through CDA alone. A random-effect meta-analysis, using the proportion of victims identified with CDA as the effect size, was conducted alongside subgroup analyses based on the type of disaster (natural or non-natural), the disaster classification (open or closed), and the geographical region (i.e., Europe, Asia).

Results: The search yielded 3133 entries, out of which 32 studies were deemed eligible. Most of the studies (96.8%) presented a low risk of bias. The meta-analysis revealed a mean weighted-proportion probability of 0.32, indicating that forensic odontology could identify about one-third of the victims in a mass disaster. The probability of comparative dental identification was three times higher in closed mass disasters compared to open disasters (p < 0.05) and was higher in mass disasters occurring in North America and Europe compared to other regions (p < 0.05).

Conclusion: The current result suggested that CDA can identify approximately 32% of a victim in a hypothetical scenario, emphasizing the integral role of teeth and forensic odontology in victim identification framework.

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来源期刊
Forensic Science, Medicine and Pathology
Forensic Science, Medicine and Pathology MEDICINE, LEGAL-PATHOLOGY
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
5.60%
发文量
114
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Forensic Science, Medicine and Pathology encompasses all aspects of modern day forensics, equally applying to children or adults, either living or the deceased. This includes forensic science, medicine, nursing, and pathology, as well as toxicology, human identification, mass disasters/mass war graves, profiling, imaging, policing, wound assessment, sexual assault, anthropology, archeology, forensic search, entomology, botany, biology, veterinary pathology, and DNA. Forensic Science, Medicine, and Pathology presents a balance of forensic research and reviews from around the world to reflect modern advances through peer-reviewed papers, short communications, meeting proceedings and case reports.
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