活体肝移植存活率的时间演变 - UNOS 登记研究。

IF 8.9 2区 医学 Q1 SURGERY American Journal of Transplantation Pub Date : 2024-08-18 DOI:10.1016/j.ajt.2024.08.011
Christian T J Magyar, Zhihao Li, Laia Aceituno, Marco P A W Claasen, Tommy Ivanics, Woo Jin Choi, Luckshi Rajendran, Blayne A Sayed, Roxana Bucur, Nadia Rukavina, Nazia Selzner, Anand Ghanekar, Mark Cattral, Gonzalo Sapisochin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

活体肝移植(LDLT)是治疗各种肝病的一种治愈性疗法,它能缩短等待时间并降低相关死亡率。我们的目的是评估总生存率(OS),确定死亡率的预测因素,并分析风险因素随时间变化的差异。接受 LDLT 治疗的成人患者选自器官共享联合网络(United Network for Organ Sharing)的数据库,时间跨度从数据库建立之初(1987 年)至 2023 年。采用 Kaplan-Meier 法进行分析,并建立了多变量 Cox 比例危险模型。纳入的 7,257 名 LDLT 受者的中位年龄为 54 岁(IQR:45,61),54% 为男性,80% 为非西班牙裔白人,体重指数为 26.3kg/m2(IQR:23.2,30.0),MELD 为 15(IQR:11,19)。冷缺血时间中位数为 1.6 小时(IQR:1.0,2.3),88% 为右叶移植。随访时间为 4.0 年(IQR:1.0,9.2)。当代达到的中位总生存期为 17.0 年(95%CI:16.1,18.1),OS 估计值为:1 年 95%,3 年 95%:1年为95%,3年为89%,5年为84%,10年为72%,15年为56%,20年为43%。研究发现了九个与死亡率相关的独立因素,其中最近一段时间的OS有所改善(aHR 0.53; 95%CI:0.39,0.71)。中心每年的中位病例数为 5 例(IQR:2,10),观察到特定中心的 OS 有所改善。LDLT是一种安全的手术,具有良好的OS。尽管风险参数增加,但其疗效却有所提高,这表明其极限尚未达到。
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Temporal evolution of living donor liver transplantation survival-A United Network for Organ Sharing registry study.

Living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) is a curative treatment for various liver diseases, reducing waitlist times and associated mortality. We aimed to assess the overall survival (OS), identify predictors for mortality, and analyze differences in risk factors over time. Adult patients undergoing LDLT were selected from the United Network for Organ Sharing database from inception (1987) to 2023. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for analysis, and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were conducted. In total, 7257 LDLT recipients with a median age of 54 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 45-61 years), 54% male, 80% non-Hispanic White, body mass index of 26.3 kg/m2 (IQR: 23.2-30.0 kg/m2), and model for end-stage liver disease score of 15 (IQR: 11-19) were included. The median cold ischemic time was 1.6 hours (IQR: 1.0-2.3 hours) with 88% right lobe grafts. The follow-up was 4.0 years (IQR: 1.0-9.2 years). The contemporary reached median OS was 17.0 years (95% CI: 16.1, 18.1 years), with the following OS estimates: 1 year 95%; 3 years 89%; 5 years 84%; 10 years 72%; 15 years 56%; and 20 years 43%. Nine independent factors associated with mortality were identified, with an independent improved OS in the recent time era (adjusted hazards ratio: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.39, 0.71). The median center-caseload per year was 5 (IQR: 2-10), with observed center-specific improvement of OS. LDLT is a safe procedure with excellent OS. Its efficacy has improved despite an increase of risk parameters, suggesting its limits are yet to be met.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
18.70
自引率
4.50%
发文量
346
审稿时长
26 days
期刊介绍: The American Journal of Transplantation is a leading journal in the field of transplantation. It serves as a forum for debate and reassessment, an agent of change, and a major platform for promoting understanding, improving results, and advancing science. Published monthly, it provides an essential resource for researchers and clinicians worldwide. The journal publishes original articles, case reports, invited reviews, letters to the editor, critical reviews, news features, consensus documents, and guidelines over 12 issues a year. It covers all major subject areas in transplantation, including thoracic (heart, lung), abdominal (kidney, liver, pancreas, islets), tissue and stem cell transplantation, organ and tissue donation and preservation, tissue injury, repair, inflammation, and aging, histocompatibility, drugs and pharmacology, graft survival, and prevention of graft dysfunction and failure. It also explores ethical and social issues in the field.
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