Data Analysis of Heart Rate Variability and Arrhythmia in Patients with Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation.

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common type of arrhythmia. Heart rate variability (HRV) may be associated with AF risk. The aim of this study was to test HRV indices and arrhythmias as predictors of paroxysmal AF based on 24-hour dynamic electrocardiogram recordings of patients.

Methods: A total of 199 patients with paroxysmal AF (AF group) and 204 elderly volunteers over 60 years old (Control group) who underwent a 24-hour dynamic electrocardiogram from August 2022 to March 2023 were included. Time-domain indices, frequency-domain indices, and arrhythmia data of the two groups were classified and measured. Binary logistic regression analysis was performed on variables with significant differences to identify independent risk factors. A nomogram prediction model was established, and the sum of individual scores of each variable was calculated.

Results: Gender, age, body mass index and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) did not differ significantly between AF and Control groups (p > 0.05), whereas significant group differences were found for smoking, hypertension, diabetes, and high-density lipoprotein (HDL) (p < 0.05). The standard deviation of all normal to normal (NN) R-R intervals (SDNN), standard deviation of 5-minute average NN intervals (SDANN), root mean square of successive NN interval differences (rMSSD), 50 ms from the preceding interval (pNN50), low-frequency/high-frequency (LF/HF), LF, premature atrial contractions (PACs), atrial tachycardia (AT), T-wave index, and ST-segment index differed significantly between the two groups. Logistic regression analysis identified rMSSD, PACs, and AT as independent predictors of AF. For each unit increase in rMSSD and PACs, the odds of developing AF increased by 1.0357 and 1.0005 times, respectively. For each unit increase in AT, the odds of developing AF decreased by 0.9976 times. The total score of the nomogram prediction model ranged from 0 to 110.

Conclusion: The autonomic nervous system (ANS) plays a pivotal role in the occurrence and development of AF. The individualized nomogram prediction model of AF occurrence contributes to the early identification of high-risk patients with AF.