Changes in neighborhood disadvantage over the course of 22 years among community-living older persons.

Background: Among older persons, neighborhood disadvantage is a granular and increasingly used social determinant of health and functional well-being. The frequency of transitions into or out of a disadvantaged neighborhood over time is not known. These transitions may occur when a person moves from one location to another or when the Neighborhood Atlas, the data source for the area deprivation index (ADI) that is used to identify disadvantaged neighborhoods at the census-block level, is updated.

Methods: From a prospective longitudinal study of community-living persons, aged 70 years or older in South Central Connecticut, neighborhood disadvantage was ascertained every 18 months for 22 years (from March 1998 to March 2020). ADI scores higher than the 80th state percentile were used to distinguish neighborhoods that were disadvantaged (81-100) from those that were not (1-80).

Results: At baseline, 205 (29.3%) of the 699 participants were living in a disadvantaged neighborhood. Changes in neighborhood disadvantage during 14 consecutive 18-month intervals were relatively uncommon, ranging from 1.5% to 11.8%. Nearly 80% of participants had no change in neighborhood disadvantage and less than 4% had more than one change over a median follow-up of more than 9 years. Overall, the rate of transitions into or out of neighborhood disadvantage was only 2.7 per 100 person-years. These transitions were most common when the Neighborhood Atlas was updated (2013, 2015, 2018, and 2020). Comparable results were observed when decile changes in ADI scores during the 18-month intervals were evaluated.

Conclusions: In longitudinal studies of older persons with extended follow-up, it may not be necessary to update information on disadvantaged neighborhoods in circumstances when it is possible, and the degree of misclassification of neighborhood disadvantage should be relatively low in circumstances when updated information cannot be obtained.