在面对面互动的混合群体中传播流行病。

IF 2.7 2区 数学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED Chaos Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI:10.1063/5.0222847
Wenbin Gu, Wenjie Li, Feng Gao, Sheng Su, Zengping Zhang, Xiaoyang Liu, Wei Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于面对面的交流,聚集在封闭空间中的混杂群体形成了复杂的接触网络,影响着不同群体在社会交往中的地位和作用。疫情在混合群体中的传播错综复杂。多重互动和传播增加了理解和预测传染病在混合群体中传播的难度。尽管在现实世界中面对面的互动至关重要,但对于混合群体的独特问题,尤其是那些具有复杂面对面互动的混合群体,却严重缺乏全面的研究。我们采用基于代理的方法引入了一个新模型,以阐明混合群体中面对面互动的细微差别。在本文中,我们将易感-感染-易感过程应用于混合群体,并在特定时间窗口内整合时间网络,以区分个体移动模式和流行病传播动态。我们的研究结果凸显了混合群体的相对规模和群体的混合模式对混合群体内疾病传播轨迹的重要影响。当群体规模相差悬殊时,高群体间接触偏好会限制疾病的传播。然而,如果少数人降低其群体内偏好,而多数人保持高群体间接触偏好,疾病传播就会增加。在群体规模均衡的情况下,高群体内接触偏好可以限制传播,但不对称地降低任何群体的群体内偏好会导致传播增加。
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Epidemic spreading on mixing group with face-to-face interaction.

The mixing groups gathered in the enclosed space form a complex contact network due to face-to-face interaction, which affects the status and role of different groups in social communication. The intricacies of epidemic spreading in mixing groups are intrinsically complicated. Multiple interactions and transmission add to the difficulties of understanding and forecasting the spread of infectious diseases in mixing groups. Despite the critical relevance of face-to-face interactions in real-world situations, there is a significant lack of comprehensive study addressing the unique issues of mixed groups, particularly those with complex face-to-face interactions. We introduce a novel model employing an agent-based approach to elucidate the nuances of face-to-face interactions within mixing groups. In this paper, we apply a susceptible-infected-susceptible process to mixing groups and integrate a temporal network within a specified time window to distinguish between individual movement patterns and epidemic spreading dynamics. Our findings highlight the significant impact of both the relative size of mixing groups and the groups' mixing patterns on the trajectory of disease spread within the mixing groups. When group sizes differ significantly, high inter-group contact preference limits disease spread. However, if the minority reduces their intra-group preferences while the majority maintains high inter-group contact, disease spread increases. In balanced group sizes, high intra-group contact preferences can limit transmission, but asymmetrically reducing any group's intra-group preference can lead to increased spread.

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来源期刊
Chaos
Chaos 物理-物理:数学物理
CiteScore
5.20
自引率
13.80%
发文量
448
审稿时长
2.3 months
期刊介绍: Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science is a peer-reviewed journal devoted to increasing the understanding of nonlinear phenomena and describing the manifestations in a manner comprehensible to researchers from a broad spectrum of disciplines.
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