利用双变量随机模型评估系统的可靠性和可用性

IF 2.2 3区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL Quality and Reliability Engineering International Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI:10.1002/qre.3655
Muhammad Mohsin, Aisha Bilal, Zulfiqar Ali
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在当今工业革命的时代,发达国家正在使用智能制造和智能生产,但生产系统仍然很容易受到干扰和中断的影响,从而影响系统的可靠性和可用性。需要采用一定的科学和概率方法来研究故障间隔时间和修复时间,并找到可能的解决方案,以实现最大产量和最小损失。在本文中,我们提出了一种双变量 Power Pareto 分布来模拟系统的故障间隔时间和修复时间以及系统的一些特征。模型参数通过最大似然估计、贝叶斯估计和蚁群优化算法进行估计。针对不同的样本量进行了模拟研究,以评估模型参数的稳定性。此外,我们从提出的双变量随机分布中推导出卷积分布,并计算出其量化值,这有助于确定某个系统的可用和恢复总时间。为了证明我们模型的有效性,我们使用了某个系统的故障间隔时间和修复时间的真实数据集。
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Assessment of reliability and availability of a system by using a bivariate stochastic model
In the present age of industrial revolution where the smart manufacturing and smart production are being used in the developed countries, the production systems are still vulnerable to disruptions and outages that affect the reliability and availability of the systems. Certain scientific and probabilistic approaches are required to study the inter‐failure times and repair times and find the possible solutions for maximum production and minimum losses. In this article, we propose a bivariate Power Pareto distribution to model the inter‐failure times and repair times of a system along with some of its characteristics. The model parameters are estimated by employing the maximum likelihood estimation, Bayesian estimation and ant colony optimization algorithm. A simulation study is conducted for different sample sizes to assess the stability of the model parameters. Moreover, we derive the distribution of convolution from our proposed bivariate stochastic distribution and compute its quantiles that help to determine the total time of availability and recovery of a certain system. To demonstrate the efficacy of our model, we use real data set of inter‐failure times and repair times of a certain system.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
21.70%
发文量
181
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: Quality and Reliability Engineering International is a journal devoted to practical engineering aspects of quality and reliability. A refereed technical journal published eight times per year, it covers the development and practical application of existing theoretical methods, research and industrial practices. Articles in the journal will be concerned with case studies, tutorial-type reviews and also with applications of new or well-known theory to the solution of actual quality and reliability problems in engineering. Papers describing the use of mathematical and statistical tools to solve real life industrial problems are encouraged, provided that the emphasis is placed on practical applications and demonstrated case studies. The scope of the journal is intended to include components, physics of failure, equipment and systems from the fields of electronic, electrical, mechanical and systems engineering. The areas of communications, aerospace, automotive, railways, shipboard equipment, control engineering and consumer products are all covered by the journal. Quality and reliability of hardware as well as software are covered. Papers on software engineering and its impact on product quality and reliability are encouraged. The journal will also cover the management of quality and reliability in the engineering industry. Special issues on a variety of key topics are published every year and contribute to the enhancement of Quality and Reliability Engineering International as a major reference in its field.
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