2010 年至 2022 年中国非地震致命滑坡的时空模式

IF 5.8 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, GEOLOGICAL Landslides Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI:10.1007/s10346-024-02362-1
Zhuoyang Li, Meihuan Yang, Haijun Qiu, Tao Wang, Mohib Ullah, Dongdong Yang, Tianqing Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

山体滑坡是全球性的重大自然灾害,通常会导致严重后果,包括大量生命和财产损失。然而,关于不同气候区致命滑坡事件的时空分布特征及其与降水关系的研究仍然有限。在本研究中,我们编制了 2010 年至 2022 年中国非地震致命滑坡数据库,以研究其时空分布及其与降水的关系。从 2010 年到 2022 年,中国共发生了 710 起致命滑坡事件,造成 5158 人死亡。数据显示,致命滑坡事件的数量和相关死亡人数均呈下降趋势,致命滑坡事件的数量呈现出 3-4 年的循环周期,每个周期内的数量持续下降。在新周期的第一年,致命山体滑坡的数量显著增加,这表明山体滑坡是周期性发生的,与厄尔尼诺现象有关。中亚热带湿润地区记录的致命山体滑坡事件数量最多,这与该地区最高的年降水量有关。致命滑坡的趋势与降水量的变化密切相关,春夏季增加,秋冬季减少。致命滑坡事件和死亡人数的累积频率分布呈幂律分布,当超过一定数值时会急剧下降,表明存在偏转效应。尽管人口密度较低,但高原气候区的生命损失风险在所有气候区中最高。了解非地震致命滑坡的空间分布,对制定更有效的防灾减灾政策大有裨益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Spatiotemporal patterns of non-seismic fatal landslides in China from 2010 to 2022

Landslides represent a major global natural disaster, often leading to severe consequences, including substantial loss of life and property. However, research on the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of fatal landslide events across different climate regions and their association with precipitation remains limited. In this study, we compiled a database of non-seismic fatal landslides in China from 2010 to 2022 to examine their spatiotemporal distribution and relationship with precipitation. From 2010 to 2022, China experienced a total of 710 fatal landslide events, causing 5158 fatalities. The data revealed a declining trend in both the number of fatal landslides and associated fatalities, with the number of fatal landslides demonstrating a recurring cycle of 3–4 years marked by continuous decreases within each cycle. The initial year of a new cycle witnessed a significant increase in the number of fatal landslides, suggesting a periodic occurrence, which is related to El Niño. The central subtropical humid region recorded the highest number of fatal landslide events, attributed to its highest annual precipitation. The trend in fatal landslides closely corresponded with variations in precipitation, increasing in spring and summer and decreasing in autumn and winter. The cumulative frequency distributions of fatal landslides and fatalities followed a power-law distribution, with a sharp decline observed when exceeding a certain value, indicating a deflection effect. Despite the low population density, the plateau climate region has the highest risk of life loss among all climate regions. Understanding the spatial distribution of non-seismic fatal landslides can significantly aid in formulating more effective disaster prevention and mitigation policies.

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来源期刊
Landslides
Landslides 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
13.60
自引率
14.90%
发文量
191
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Landslides are gravitational mass movements of rock, debris or earth. They may occur in conjunction with other major natural disasters such as floods, earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. Expanding urbanization and changing land-use practices have increased the incidence of landslide disasters. Landslides as catastrophic events include human injury, loss of life and economic devastation and are studied as part of the fields of earth, water and engineering sciences. The aim of the journal Landslides is to be the common platform for the publication of integrated research on landslide processes, hazards, risk analysis, mitigation, and the protection of our cultural heritage and the environment. The journal publishes research papers, news of recent landslide events and information on the activities of the International Consortium on Landslides. - Landslide dynamics, mechanisms and processes - Landslide risk evaluation: hazard assessment, hazard mapping, and vulnerability assessment - Geological, Geotechnical, Hydrological and Geophysical modeling - Effects of meteorological, hydrological and global climatic change factors - Monitoring including remote sensing and other non-invasive systems - New technology, expert and intelligent systems - Application of GIS techniques - Rock slides, rock falls, debris flows, earth flows, and lateral spreads - Large-scale landslides, lahars and pyroclastic flows in volcanic zones - Marine and reservoir related landslides - Landslide related tsunamis and seiches - Landslide disasters in urban areas and along critical infrastructure - Landslides and natural resources - Land development and land-use practices - Landslide remedial measures / prevention works - Temporal and spatial prediction of landslides - Early warning and evacuation - Global landslide database
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