Jaeseok Yoo, Young-jin Oh, Nam-hyun Kim, Soo-ill Lee, Jaepil Ko
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Multi-step multivariate forecasting of transmission power in NPPs using operational and meteorological data
As the proportion of renewable energy has increased in the national power grid of Republic of Korea, various efforts are needed to maintain the stability of total power generation. All kinds of power plants, including nuclear power, must notify the grid operation organization of their expected transmission power. Even in NPPs, the accuracy of transmission power forecasting can increase the plant owner's economic benefits as well as the stability of the power grid. The transmission power of a NPP is affected by various plant conditions and environmental conditions, including the temperature of circulating water (sea water). In this study, we explored how to effectively handle the long-term dependence problem and various data characteristics to increase the forecasting accuracy of transmission power in NPPs by introducing a Seq2Seq model with an encoder-decoder structure and an attention mechanism, beyond traditional time series deep learning models, especially LSTM. This approach will improve the accuracy of transmission power forecasting and contribute to a stable power supply. Additionally, the model is expected to provide a realistic and practical solution for the power demand response of power plants.
期刊介绍:
Nuclear Engineering and Technology (NET), an international journal of the Korean Nuclear Society (KNS), publishes peer-reviewed papers on original research, ideas and developments in all areas of the field of nuclear science and technology. NET bimonthly publishes original articles, reviews, and technical notes. The journal is listed in the Science Citation Index Expanded (SCIE) of Thomson Reuters.
NET covers all fields for peaceful utilization of nuclear energy and radiation as follows:
1) Reactor Physics
2) Thermal Hydraulics
3) Nuclear Safety
4) Nuclear I&C
5) Nuclear Physics, Fusion, and Laser Technology
6) Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Radioactive Waste Management
7) Nuclear Fuel and Reactor Materials
8) Radiation Application
9) Radiation Protection
10) Nuclear Structural Analysis and Plant Management & Maintenance
11) Nuclear Policy, Economics, and Human Resource Development