一期和二期 Vélo 计划对巴黎车流量的影响--实证分析

Elena Natterer, Allister Loder, Klaus Bogenberger
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,法国巴黎对其交通基础设施进行了改造,其显著特点是将空间从汽车重新分配给积极的交通方式。推动这一转变的关键举措包括 "V/'elo 计划 "一期和二期,在此期间,巴黎新建了 1000 多公里的自行车道,以鼓励骑自行车出行。为此,该系统取消了大量的道路容量。这一转变为研究大规模网络重新配置对整个网络交通流量的影响提供了一个独特的机会。利用网络基本图(NFD)和重新抽样估算方法,我们通过 2010 年和 2023 年的环路检测器经验数据,研究了这些政策干预措施对网络容量、临界密度和自由流速度的影响。我们发现,在政策干预最多的城市核心区,每条车道的通行能力下降了 50%以上,同时自由流速度下降了 60%。同样,在干预措施较少的区域,容量下降了 34%,自由流动速度下降了 40%。虽然这些变化看似巨大,但 NFD 显示总体拥堵并没有加剧,这表明交通模式已转向其他交通方式,因此城市交通的可持续发展性可能更强。
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Effects of the Plan Vélo I and II on vehicular flow in Paris -- An Empirical Analysis
In recent years, Paris, France, transformed its transportation infrastructure, marked by a notable reallocation of space away from cars to active modes of transportation. Key initiatives driving this transformation included Plan V\'elo I and II, during which the city created over 1,000 kilometres of new bike paths to encourage cycling. For this, substantial road capacity has been removed from the system. This transformation provides a unique opportunity to investigate the impact of the large-scale network re-configuration on the network-wide traffic flow. Using the Network Fundamental Diagram (NFD) and a re-sampling methodology for its estimation, we investigate with empirical loop detector data from 2010 and 2023 the impact on the network's capacity, critical density, and free-flow speed resulting from these policy interventions. We find that in the urban core with the most policy interventions, per lane capacity decreased by over 50%, accompanied by a 60% drop in free-flow speed. Similarly, in the zone with fewer interventions, capacity declined by 34%, with a 40% reduction in free-flow speed. While these changes seem substantial, the NFDs show that overall congestion did not increase, indicating a modal shift to other modes of transport and hence presumably more sustainable urban mobility.
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