{"title":"撒哈拉以南非洲的能源贫困与环境可持续性:矩量回归法的证据","authors":"Mohammed Alnour, Faik Bilgili, Kamran Khan","doi":"10.1111/1477-8947.12551","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The enormous ensembles of energy resources have elevated Sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) to a prominent position in the world energy scene as a leading region in forming a sustainable energy future. However, over half of the population in the region lives without electricity and less than 20% of the population has access to clean fuels. The excessive reliance on fossil fuels such as coal, kerosene, and solid biomass has implications for environmental outcomes in SSA. Nevertheless, the environmental impact of energy poverty from the SSA perspective remains an under‐explored terrain in the research landscape. In this context, to address the pressing challenges of energy poverty and environmental sustainability, this study aims to explore the threat energy poverty poses on the ecological footprints, focusing on “land‐use, carbon footprint, forestry resources, and fishing ground” across 35 SSA countries using disaggregated data covering the period 2000 and 2021. This study employs the novel Method of the Moments Quantile Regression following the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology model as the reference theoretical and analytical framework. The findings disclose heterogeneous effects of rural and urban energy poverty on ecological footprint items. When comparing the magnitudes, we found that rural energy poverty has a more detrimental impact on land‐use than urban energy poverty. Energy poverty is found to have no reliable power to explain the variation in carbon footprint and fishing ground. In the meantime, urban energy poverty exerts a positive effect on forestry resource sustainability. Surprisingly, population density is found to have a significant and desirable impact on land‐use. Based on the obtained results, numerous policy suggestions have been discussed along with some prospects for future research.","PeriodicalId":49777,"journal":{"name":"Natural Resources Forum","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Energy poverty and environmental sustainability in Sub‐Saharan Africa: Evidence from method of moments quantile regression\",\"authors\":\"Mohammed Alnour, Faik Bilgili, Kamran Khan\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/1477-8947.12551\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The enormous ensembles of energy resources have elevated Sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) to a prominent position in the world energy scene as a leading region in forming a sustainable energy future. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
丰富的能源资源使撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)在世界能源舞台上占据了突出位置,成为形成可持续能源未来的领先地区。然而,该地区一半以上的人口没有电力供应,只有不到 20% 的人口能够获得清洁燃料。对煤炭、煤油和固体生物质等化石燃料的过度依赖对撒南非洲的环境结果产生了影响。然而,从撒哈拉以南非洲地区的角度来看,能源贫困对环境的影响仍然是研究领域中尚未充分开发的领域。在此背景下,为应对能源贫困和环境可持续性的紧迫挑战,本研究旨在利用 2000 年至 2021 年期间的分类数据,探讨能源贫困对生态足迹的威胁,重点关注 35 个撒南非洲国家的 "土地利用、碳足迹、林业资源和渔场"。本研究采用了新颖的矩量回归法(Method of the Moments Quantile Regression)和人口、富裕程度和技术随机影响回归模型(Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology model)作为参考理论和分析框架。研究结果显示了农村和城市能源贫困对生态足迹项目的不同影响。在比较影响程度时,我们发现农村能源贫困比城市能源贫困对土地利用的不利影响更大。在解释碳足迹和渔场的变化方面,能源贫困没有可靠的解释力。同时,城市能源贫困对林业资源的可持续性有积极影响。出乎意料的是,人口密度对土地利用有显著的理想影响。根据研究结果,我们讨论了许多政策建议,并展望了未来的研究前景。
Energy poverty and environmental sustainability in Sub‐Saharan Africa: Evidence from method of moments quantile regression
The enormous ensembles of energy resources have elevated Sub‐Saharan Africa (SSA) to a prominent position in the world energy scene as a leading region in forming a sustainable energy future. However, over half of the population in the region lives without electricity and less than 20% of the population has access to clean fuels. The excessive reliance on fossil fuels such as coal, kerosene, and solid biomass has implications for environmental outcomes in SSA. Nevertheless, the environmental impact of energy poverty from the SSA perspective remains an under‐explored terrain in the research landscape. In this context, to address the pressing challenges of energy poverty and environmental sustainability, this study aims to explore the threat energy poverty poses on the ecological footprints, focusing on “land‐use, carbon footprint, forestry resources, and fishing ground” across 35 SSA countries using disaggregated data covering the period 2000 and 2021. This study employs the novel Method of the Moments Quantile Regression following the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence and Technology model as the reference theoretical and analytical framework. The findings disclose heterogeneous effects of rural and urban energy poverty on ecological footprint items. When comparing the magnitudes, we found that rural energy poverty has a more detrimental impact on land‐use than urban energy poverty. Energy poverty is found to have no reliable power to explain the variation in carbon footprint and fishing ground. In the meantime, urban energy poverty exerts a positive effect on forestry resource sustainability. Surprisingly, population density is found to have a significant and desirable impact on land‐use. Based on the obtained results, numerous policy suggestions have been discussed along with some prospects for future research.
期刊介绍:
Natural Resources Forum, a United Nations Sustainable Development Journal, focuses on international, multidisciplinary issues related to sustainable development, with an emphasis on developing countries. The journal seeks to address gaps in current knowledge and stimulate policy discussions on the most critical issues associated with the sustainable development agenda, by promoting research that integrates the social, economic, and environmental dimensions of sustainable development. Contributions that inform the global policy debate through pragmatic lessons learned from experience at the local, national, and global levels are encouraged.
The Journal considers articles written on all topics relevant to sustainable development. In addition, it dedicates series, issues and special sections to specific themes that are relevant to the current discussions of the United Nations Commission on Sustainable Development (CSD). Articles must be based on original research and must be relevant to policy-making.
Criteria for selection of submitted articles include:
1) Relevance and importance of the topic discussed to sustainable development in general, both in terms of policy impacts and gaps in current knowledge being addressed by the article;
2) Treatment of the topic that incorporates social, economic and environmental aspects of sustainable development, rather than focusing purely on sectoral and/or technical aspects;
3) Articles must contain original applied material drawn from concrete projects, policy implementation, or literature reviews; purely theoretical papers are not entertained.