{"title":"STAA:用于短期降水预报的时空对齐注意力","authors":"Min Chen, Hao Yang, Shaohan Li, Xiaolin Qin","doi":"arxiv-2409.06732","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"There is a great need to accurately predict short-term precipitation, which\nhas socioeconomic effects such as agriculture and disaster prevention.\nRecently, the forecasting models have employed multi-source data as the\nmulti-modality input, thus improving the prediction accuracy. However, the\nprevailing methods usually suffer from the desynchronization of multi-source\nvariables, the insufficient capability of capturing spatio-temporal dependency,\nand unsatisfactory performance in predicting extreme precipitation events. To\nfix these problems, we propose a short-term precipitation forecasting model\nbased on spatio-temporal alignment attention, with SATA as the temporal\nalignment module and STAU as the spatio-temporal feature extractor to filter\nhigh-pass features from precipitation signals and capture multi-term temporal\ndependencies. Based on satellite and ERA5 data from the southwestern region of\nChina, our model achieves improvements of 12.61\\% in terms of RMSE, in\ncomparison with the state-of-the-art methods.","PeriodicalId":501166,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - PHYS - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics","volume":"2 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"STAA: Spatio-Temporal Alignment Attention for Short-Term Precipitation Forecasting\",\"authors\":\"Min Chen, Hao Yang, Shaohan Li, Xiaolin Qin\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2409.06732\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"There is a great need to accurately predict short-term precipitation, which\\nhas socioeconomic effects such as agriculture and disaster prevention.\\nRecently, the forecasting models have employed multi-source data as the\\nmulti-modality input, thus improving the prediction accuracy. However, the\\nprevailing methods usually suffer from the desynchronization of multi-source\\nvariables, the insufficient capability of capturing spatio-temporal dependency,\\nand unsatisfactory performance in predicting extreme precipitation events. To\\nfix these problems, we propose a short-term precipitation forecasting model\\nbased on spatio-temporal alignment attention, with SATA as the temporal\\nalignment module and STAU as the spatio-temporal feature extractor to filter\\nhigh-pass features from precipitation signals and capture multi-term temporal\\ndependencies. Based on satellite and ERA5 data from the southwestern region of\\nChina, our model achieves improvements of 12.61\\\\% in terms of RMSE, in\\ncomparison with the state-of-the-art methods.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501166,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - PHYS - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics\",\"volume\":\"2 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - PHYS - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.06732\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - PHYS - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.06732","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
短期降水对农业和防灾等社会经济影响巨大,因此亟需准确预测短期降水。近年来,预报模式采用多源数据作为多模态输入,从而提高了预报精度。然而,现有方法通常存在多源变量不同步、捕捉时空依赖性的能力不足以及预测极端降水事件的性能不理想等问题。为了解决这些问题,我们提出了一种基于时空配准注意力的短期降水预报模型,以 SATA 作为时空配准模块,以 STAU 作为时空特征提取器,从降水信号中过滤高通特征并捕捉多期时空依赖性。基于中国西南地区的卫星和ERA5数据,我们的模型在均方根误差(RMSE)方面与最先进的方法相比提高了12.61%。
STAA: Spatio-Temporal Alignment Attention for Short-Term Precipitation Forecasting
There is a great need to accurately predict short-term precipitation, which
has socioeconomic effects such as agriculture and disaster prevention.
Recently, the forecasting models have employed multi-source data as the
multi-modality input, thus improving the prediction accuracy. However, the
prevailing methods usually suffer from the desynchronization of multi-source
variables, the insufficient capability of capturing spatio-temporal dependency,
and unsatisfactory performance in predicting extreme precipitation events. To
fix these problems, we propose a short-term precipitation forecasting model
based on spatio-temporal alignment attention, with SATA as the temporal
alignment module and STAU as the spatio-temporal feature extractor to filter
high-pass features from precipitation signals and capture multi-term temporal
dependencies. Based on satellite and ERA5 data from the southwestern region of
China, our model achieves improvements of 12.61\% in terms of RMSE, in
comparison with the state-of-the-art methods.