{"title":"上海附近海平面上升预测","authors":"Yi Zheng","doi":"arxiv-2408.06387","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Firstly, by establishing a prediction model for global sea-level rise and\ncalculating with Maple, it is shown that the global sea-level rise rate in 2009\nis 2.68 mm/a. The height and rate of global sea-level rise will be about 9.11\ncm and 3.22 mm/a in 2020. Based on the study and the actual land subsidence in\nShanghai Lingang New City, the rate of relative sea-level rise near Lingang New\nCity is calculated to be 12.68 mm/a in 2009. Then, through setting up the\nextrapolation prediction model with a linear trend term and a significant tidal\ncycle, the rise rate of average sea-level near Lingang New City was predicted.\nThe result showed it will be 0.33 mm/a in 2020.","PeriodicalId":501166,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - PHYS - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Prediction of Sea Level Rise near Shanghai\",\"authors\":\"Yi Zheng\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2408.06387\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Firstly, by establishing a prediction model for global sea-level rise and\\ncalculating with Maple, it is shown that the global sea-level rise rate in 2009\\nis 2.68 mm/a. The height and rate of global sea-level rise will be about 9.11\\ncm and 3.22 mm/a in 2020. Based on the study and the actual land subsidence in\\nShanghai Lingang New City, the rate of relative sea-level rise near Lingang New\\nCity is calculated to be 12.68 mm/a in 2009. Then, through setting up the\\nextrapolation prediction model with a linear trend term and a significant tidal\\ncycle, the rise rate of average sea-level near Lingang New City was predicted.\\nThe result showed it will be 0.33 mm/a in 2020.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501166,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - PHYS - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics\",\"volume\":\"21 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - PHYS - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2408.06387\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - PHYS - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2408.06387","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Firstly, by establishing a prediction model for global sea-level rise and
calculating with Maple, it is shown that the global sea-level rise rate in 2009
is 2.68 mm/a. The height and rate of global sea-level rise will be about 9.11
cm and 3.22 mm/a in 2020. Based on the study and the actual land subsidence in
Shanghai Lingang New City, the rate of relative sea-level rise near Lingang New
City is calculated to be 12.68 mm/a in 2009. Then, through setting up the
extrapolation prediction model with a linear trend term and a significant tidal
cycle, the rise rate of average sea-level near Lingang New City was predicted.
The result showed it will be 0.33 mm/a in 2020.
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