考虑行为动力学的传染病最佳控制策略

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS ACS Applied Bio Materials Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI:10.1002/mma.10388
Omar Forrest, Mo'tassem Al‐arydah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出了一个简单的 SVIR(易感者、接种者、感染者、康复者)模型来分析 COVID-19 的传播,该模型纳入了人口谨慎度对传播率的影响,认为传播率与当前感染者数量呈非线性关系。正约束解的证明证实了该模型的生物学相关性。通过基本繁殖数公式,我们探讨了无病均衡(DFE)和地方病均衡(EE)的局部渐近稳定性,表明地方病均衡的存在依赖于基本繁殖数。此外,我们还通过构建 Lyapunov 函数建立了 DFE 的全局稳定性。我们提出了疫苗接种的最优控制问题,证明了最优策略的存在性和唯一性。我们的模拟结果表明,最佳疫苗接种能有效降低感染率和成本。我们还研究了将教育纳入模型的效果,以强调教育在降低疾病传播率和减少疫苗接种必要性方面的重要性。
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Optimal control strategies for infectious diseases with consideration of behavioral dynamics
We present a simple SVIR (susceptible, vaccinated, infected, recovered) model to analyze the spread of COVID‐19, incorporating the influence of the population's caution on the transmission rate, which is considered nonlinear in current number of infected. Demonstrating a positive bound solution confirms the model's biological relevance. Through a formula for the basic reproduction number, we explore the local asymptotic stability of the disease‐free equilibrium (DFE) and endemic equilibrium (EE), showing that the existence of the EE relies on the basic reproduction number. Furthermore, we establish the global stability of the DFE by constructing a Lyapunov function. We present an optimal control problem for vaccination, demonstrating the existence and uniqueness of the optimal strategy. Our simulations indicate that optimal vaccination is effective in reducing infections and costs. We also investigate the effect of integrating education into the model to underscore its importance in decreasing disease transmission rates and reducing the necessity for vaccine uptake.
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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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