一个世纪城市发展过程中的活动类型

Julie Gravier, Marc Barthelemy
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摘要

有关发展中城市经济活动动态的当代文献主要集中在几年或几十年的时间范围内。我们利用一个新的地理历史数据库,从约 100 万条历史目录中构建了一个数据库,对一个大城市巴黎近一个世纪(1829-1907 年)的活动动态进行了全面分析。我们的分析表明,伴随城市发展而出现的活动可根据其动态性及其与人口的比例关系分为不同类别:(i) 与居民日常需求相关的线性活动(食品店、服装零售商、医疗保健从业者),(ii) 与公共服务相关的次线性活动(法律、行政、教育),(iii) 与城市特殊性相关的超线性活动(流行趋势、专业化、及时需求)。此外,这些活动的动态变化对历史扰动(如大规模公共工程或政治冲突)非常敏感。这些结果揭示了活动的演变,而活动是城市发展的重要组成部分。
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A typology of activities over a century of urban growth
Contemporary literature on the dynamics of economic activities in growing cities mainly focused on a few years or decades time frames. Using a new geo-historical database constructed from historical directories with about 1 million entries, we present a comprehensive analysis of the dynamics of activities in a major city, Paris, over almost a century (1829-1907). Our analysis suggests that activities that accompany city growth can be classified in different categories according to their dynamics and their scaling with population: (i) linear for everyday needs of residents (food stores, clothing retailers, health care practitioners), (ii) sublinear for public services (legal, administrative, educational), (iii) superlinear for the city's specific features (passing fads, specialization, timely needs). The dynamics of these activities is in addition very sensitive to historical perturbations such as large scale public works or political conflicts. These results shed light on the evolution of activities, a crucial component of growing cities.
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