右删失数据下用于双样本测试的机器学习:模拟研究

Petr Philonenko, Sergey Postovalov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的重点是评估机器学习(ML)方法在具有右删失观测值的双样本测试中的有效性。为了实现这一目标,我们开发了几种基于 ML 的方法,这些方法具有不同的架构,并将它们作为双样本检验方法来实施。每种方法都是一个集合(堆叠),结合了经典双样本检验的预测结果。本文介绍了所提出的 ML 方法的训练结果,考察了这些方法与经典双样本检验方法相比的统计能力,分析了所提出的方法在零假设为真时的检验统计量分布,并评估了所提出的方法中包含的特征的重要性。数值实验的所有结果均来自使用斯米尔诺夫变换(反变换采样)生成的合成数据集,并通过蒙特卡罗模拟进行了多次复制。要测试具有右删失观测值的双样本问题,可以使用建议的双样本方法。所有必要材料(源代码、示例脚本、数据集和样本)均可在 GitHub 和 Hugging Face 上获取。
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Machine Learning for Two-Sample Testing under Right-Censored Data: A Simulation Study
The focus of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness of Machine Learning (ML) methods for two-sample testing with right-censored observations. To achieve this, we develop several ML-based methods with varying architectures and implement them as two-sample tests. Each method is an ensemble (stacking) that combines predictions from classical two-sample tests. This paper presents the results of training the proposed ML methods, examines their statistical power compared to classical two-sample tests, analyzes the distribution of test statistics for the proposed methods when the null hypothesis is true, and evaluates the significance of the features incorporated into the proposed methods. All results from numerical experiments were obtained from a synthetic dataset generated using the Smirnov transform (Inverse Transform Sampling) and replicated multiple times through Monte Carlo simulation. To test the two-sample problem with right-censored observations, one can use the proposed two-sample methods. All necessary materials (source code, example scripts, dataset, and samples) are available on GitHub and Hugging Face.
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