基于多模型集成的储能电池剩余使用寿命预测方法研究

IF 3.7 3区 化学 Q2 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY ACS Omega Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI:10.1021/acsomega.4c03524
Lei Shao, Liangqi Zhao, Hongli Liu, Delong Zhang, Ji Li, Chao Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

锂离子电池(LIB)的剩余使用寿命(RUL)需要准确预测,以提高设备安全性和电池管理系统设计。目前,单一的机器学习方法(包括改进的机器学习方法)由于随机性导致泛化性能较差,同时组合预测方法也缺乏足够的理论支持。本文首先分析了长短期记忆网络、随机森林等模型的预测原理和适用性,然后提出了一种基于多模型融合的电池 RUL 预测方法,最后利用实验数据对所提模型进行了验证。实验结果表明:(1)对于提出的模型,在最佳情况下,均方根误差(RMSE)不超过 0.14%,具有较强的泛化能力;(2)与使用的单一模型相比,平均 RMSE 分别降低了 46.2%、43.7% 和 80.6%,具有较好的拟合性能。这些结果表明,该模型在预测储能电池的 RUL 方面具有良好的预测精度和应用前景。
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Research on the Remaining Useful Life Prediction Method of Energy Storage Battery Based on Multimodel Integration
The remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) needs to be accurately predicted to enhance equipment safety and battery management system design. Currently, a single machine learning approach (including an improved machine learning approach) has poor generalization performance due to stochasticity, and the combined prediction approach lacks sufficient theoretical support at the same time. In this paper, we first analyze the prediction principles and applicability of models such as long and short-term memory networks and random forests, and then propose a method for predicting the RUL of batteries based on the integration of multiple-model, and finally validate the proposed model by using experimental data. The experimental results show that (1) for the proposed model, in the best case, the root-mean-square error (RMSE) does not exceed 0.14%, which has a stronger generalization; (2) for the comparison with the single model used, the average RMSE is reduced by 46.2%, 43.7%, and 80.6%, which has a better fitting performance. These results show that the model has good prediction accuracy and application prospects for predicting the RUL of energy storage batteries.
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来源期刊
ACS Omega
ACS Omega Chemical Engineering-General Chemical Engineering
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
4.90%
发文量
3945
审稿时长
2.4 months
期刊介绍: ACS Omega is an open-access global publication for scientific articles that describe new findings in chemistry and interfacing areas of science, without any perceived evaluation of immediate impact.
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