{"title":"使用 CNN-LSTM 进行时间序列分析的天气预测:德里气温数据案例研究","authors":"Bangyu Li, Yang Qian","doi":"arxiv-2409.09414","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting is\nincreasingly crucial for sectors such as agriculture, energy management, and\nenvironmental protection. Traditional methods, which rely on physical and\nstatistical models, often struggle with complex, nonlinear, and time-varying\ndata, underscoring the need for more advanced techniques. This study explores a\nhybrid CNN-LSTM model to enhance temperature forecasting accuracy for the Delhi\nregion, using historical meteorological data from 1996 to 2017. We employed\nboth direct and indirect methods, including comprehensive data preprocessing\nand exploratory analysis, to construct and train our model. The CNN component\neffectively extracts spatial features, while the LSTM captures temporal\ndependencies, leading to improved prediction accuracy. Experimental results\nindicate that the CNN-LSTM model significantly outperforms traditional\nforecasting methods in terms of both accuracy and stability, with a mean square\nerror (MSE) of 3.26217 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.80615. The\nhybrid model demonstrates its potential as a robust tool for temperature\nprediction, offering valuable insights for meteorological forecasting and\nrelated fields. Future research should focus on optimizing model architecture,\nexploring additional feature extraction techniques, and addressing challenges\nsuch as overfitting and computational complexity. This approach not only\nadvances temperature forecasting but also provides a foundation for applying\ndeep learning to other time series forecasting tasks.","PeriodicalId":501422,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - CS - Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing","volume":"77 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Weather Prediction Using CNN-LSTM for Time Series Analysis: A Case Study on Delhi Temperature Data\",\"authors\":\"Bangyu Li, Yang Qian\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2409.09414\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting is\\nincreasingly crucial for sectors such as agriculture, energy management, and\\nenvironmental protection. Traditional methods, which rely on physical and\\nstatistical models, often struggle with complex, nonlinear, and time-varying\\ndata, underscoring the need for more advanced techniques. This study explores a\\nhybrid CNN-LSTM model to enhance temperature forecasting accuracy for the Delhi\\nregion, using historical meteorological data from 1996 to 2017. We employed\\nboth direct and indirect methods, including comprehensive data preprocessing\\nand exploratory analysis, to construct and train our model. The CNN component\\neffectively extracts spatial features, while the LSTM captures temporal\\ndependencies, leading to improved prediction accuracy. Experimental results\\nindicate that the CNN-LSTM model significantly outperforms traditional\\nforecasting methods in terms of both accuracy and stability, with a mean square\\nerror (MSE) of 3.26217 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.80615. The\\nhybrid model demonstrates its potential as a robust tool for temperature\\nprediction, offering valuable insights for meteorological forecasting and\\nrelated fields. Future research should focus on optimizing model architecture,\\nexploring additional feature extraction techniques, and addressing challenges\\nsuch as overfitting and computational complexity. This approach not only\\nadvances temperature forecasting but also provides a foundation for applying\\ndeep learning to other time series forecasting tasks.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501422,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - CS - Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing\",\"volume\":\"77 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - CS - Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.09414\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - CS - Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.09414","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Weather Prediction Using CNN-LSTM for Time Series Analysis: A Case Study on Delhi Temperature Data
As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting is
increasingly crucial for sectors such as agriculture, energy management, and
environmental protection. Traditional methods, which rely on physical and
statistical models, often struggle with complex, nonlinear, and time-varying
data, underscoring the need for more advanced techniques. This study explores a
hybrid CNN-LSTM model to enhance temperature forecasting accuracy for the Delhi
region, using historical meteorological data from 1996 to 2017. We employed
both direct and indirect methods, including comprehensive data preprocessing
and exploratory analysis, to construct and train our model. The CNN component
effectively extracts spatial features, while the LSTM captures temporal
dependencies, leading to improved prediction accuracy. Experimental results
indicate that the CNN-LSTM model significantly outperforms traditional
forecasting methods in terms of both accuracy and stability, with a mean square
error (MSE) of 3.26217 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.80615. The
hybrid model demonstrates its potential as a robust tool for temperature
prediction, offering valuable insights for meteorological forecasting and
related fields. Future research should focus on optimizing model architecture,
exploring additional feature extraction techniques, and addressing challenges
such as overfitting and computational complexity. This approach not only
advances temperature forecasting but also provides a foundation for applying
deep learning to other time series forecasting tasks.