改变决策的模仿影响下的最优投资

Huisheng Wang, H. Vicky Zhao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

决策变化模仿是金融市场中的一种普遍现象,即投资者在做出自己的投资决策时模仿他人的决策变化率。在这项工作中,我们研究了决策改变模仿影响下的最优投资问题,该问题涉及一位领先专家和一位散户投资者,后者的决策受到领先专家的单方面影响。在最优投资问题的目标函数中,我们提出了积分差异来量化两个投资者决策改变率之间的距离。由于最优投资问题的不确定性,我们首先用变量法推导出其一般解,并在边界条件的两种特殊情况下求得散户投资者的最优决策。我们从理论上分析了当改变决策的模仿的影响接近无穷大时最优决策的渐近特性,并研究了改变决策的模仿对最优决策的影响。我们的分析通过实际股票数据的数值实验得到了验证。这项研究对于理解决策改变模仿和设计有效机制以指导投资者决策至关重要。
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Optimal Investment under the Influence of Decision-changing Imitation
Decision-changing imitation is a prevalent phenomenon in financial markets, where investors imitate others' decision-changing rates when making their own investment decisions. In this work, we study the optimal investment problem under the influence of decision-changing imitation involving one leading expert and one retail investor whose decisions are unilaterally influenced by the leading expert. In the objective functional of the optimal investment problem, we propose the integral disparity to quantify the distance between the two investors' decision-changing rates. Due to the underdetermination of the optimal investment problem, we first derive its general solution using the variational method and find the retail investor's optimal decisions under two special cases of the boundary conditions. We theoretically analyze the asymptotic properties of the optimal decision as the influence of decision-changing imitation approaches infinity, and investigate the impact of decision-changing imitation on the optimal decision. Our analysis is validated using numerical experiments on real stock data. This study is essential to comprehend decision-changing imitation and devise effective mechanisms to guide investors' decisions.
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