Can negative axillary ultrasound reliably predict pathologically negative axillary lymph node status in breast cancer patients with cT ≤3 cm, cN0, and HER2-positive?-a retrospective, single-institution study.

Background: Breast cancer (BC) is the leading cancer in women globally, with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive subtype accounting for 15-20% of cases and exhibiting aggressive behavior. The standard of care for operable BC has evolved to include neoadjuvant systemic therapy, which can guide treatment decisions and improve outcomes, particularly in HER2⁺ BC. This study aims to investigate whether axillary ultrasound has a good negative predictive value (NPV) for early HER2 BC patients and to identify clinicopathological factors that can impact the axillary lymph node metastasis.

Methods: This retrospective, single-center study evaluated the medical records of 135 patients with HER2⁺ BC, cT ≤3 cm, and clinically negative axillary lymph nodes from 2018 to 2020. The study aimed to determine the NPV of axillary ultrasound for pathologically negative axillary lymph node status and to identify factors associated with axillary lymph node metastasis.

Results: The NPV of axillary ultrasound was 78.5%, increasing to 89.6% and 93.3% when considering 0-1 and 0-2 metastatic lymph nodes, respectively. Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) was significantly associated with axillary lymph node metastasis, with a 2.2-fold increased risk.

Conclusions: Axillary ultrasound shows good predictive value for axillary lymph node negativity in HER2⁺ BC patients with small tumors. However, the presence of LVI increases the risk of metastasis, suggesting a need for neoadjuvant chemotherapy. These findings contribute to personalized treatment strategies for early HER2⁺ BC, emphasizing the role of axillary ultrasound in clinical decision-making.