Comparative performance of pharmacogenetics-based warfarin dosing algorithms in Chinese population: use of a pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model to explore dosing regimen through clinical trial simulation.

Objective: Warfarin has a narrow therapeutic window and large variability in dosing that are affected by clinical and genetic factors. To help guide the dosing of warfarin, the Clinical Pharmacogenetics Implementation Consortium has recommended the use of pharmacogenetic algorithms, such as the ones developed by the International Warfarin Pharmacogenetics Consortium (IWPC) and by Gage et al. when genotype information is available.

Methods: In this study, simulations were performed in Chinese cohorts to explore how dosing differences between Western (by IWPC and Gage et al.) and Chinese algorithms (by Miao et al.) would mean in terms of anticoagulation effect in clinical trials. We first tried to replicate a published clinical trial comparing genotype-guided dosing to routine clinical dosing in Chinese patients. We then made simulations where Chinese cohorts received daily doses recommended by Gage, IWPC, and Miao algorithms.

Results: We found that in simulation conditions where dosing specifications were strictly followed, genotype-guided dosing by IWPC and Lenzini formulae was more likely to overshoot the upper limit of the therapeutic window by day 15, and thus may have a lower % time in therapeutic range (%TTR) than that of clinical dosing group. Also, in comparing Gage, IWPC, and Miao algorithms, we found that the Miao dosing cohort has the highest %TTR and the lowest risk of over-anticoagulation by day 28.

Conclusion: In summary, our results confirmed that algorithms developed based on data from local patients may be more suitable for achieving therapeutic international normalized ratio window in Chinese population.