{"title":"预测 SVR 后 HCV 相关 ACLD 的临床轨迹:肝脏僵硬度在五年前瞻性研究中的作用","authors":"Filomena Morisco, Alessandro Federico, Massimo Marignani, Flavia L Lombardo, Valentina Cossiga, Luisa Ranieri, Mario Romeo, Marina Cipullo, Paola Begini, Alessandra Zannella, Tommaso Stroffolini","doi":"10.3390/v16091439","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The prediction of liver-related events (LRE) after sustained virological response (SVR) in HCV-advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) patients is crucial. We aimed to evaluate incidence and risk factors of LRE in HCV-cirrhotic patients after SVR and to assess dynamic changes of liver stiffness in participants without LRE at the end of follow-up. We enrolled 575 consecutive patients with HCV-ACLD treated with DAAs and followed up for 5 years after SVR12. Overall, 98 (17%) patients developed any type of event, and HCC was the most frequent LRE. The incidence rate was 1.6 per 100 person-years (p/y) for both HCC and hepatic decompensation. Baseline LSM ≥ 20 kPa was the only independent predictor of hepatic decompensation, while LSM ≥ 20 kPa and male sex were independent predictors of HCC development. Among the 341 participants without LRE and with paired LSM, any LSM reduction was observed in 314 (92.1%), and half of them showed a decrease of LSM ≥ 20%. Among patients without LRE, 27.3% of participants without ≥20% LSM decrease at 2 years achieved the 5-year goal; in contrast, 31.6% of participants with ≥20% LSM decrease at 2 years lost it at 5 years. These findings provide evidence that baseline LSM is a tool to stratify patients at risk of developing LRE; the dynamic changes of LSM value suggest the need for monitoring this parameter over time.</p>","PeriodicalId":49328,"journal":{"name":"Viruses-Basel","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11437428/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Prediction of Clinical Trajectory in HCV-Related ACLD after SVR: Role of Liver Stiffness in a 5-Years Prospective Study.\",\"authors\":\"Filomena Morisco, Alessandro Federico, Massimo Marignani, Flavia L Lombardo, Valentina Cossiga, Luisa Ranieri, Mario Romeo, Marina Cipullo, Paola Begini, Alessandra Zannella, Tommaso Stroffolini\",\"doi\":\"10.3390/v16091439\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>The prediction of liver-related events (LRE) after sustained virological response (SVR) in HCV-advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) patients is crucial. We aimed to evaluate incidence and risk factors of LRE in HCV-cirrhotic patients after SVR and to assess dynamic changes of liver stiffness in participants without LRE at the end of follow-up. We enrolled 575 consecutive patients with HCV-ACLD treated with DAAs and followed up for 5 years after SVR12. Overall, 98 (17%) patients developed any type of event, and HCC was the most frequent LRE. The incidence rate was 1.6 per 100 person-years (p/y) for both HCC and hepatic decompensation. Baseline LSM ≥ 20 kPa was the only independent predictor of hepatic decompensation, while LSM ≥ 20 kPa and male sex were independent predictors of HCC development. Among the 341 participants without LRE and with paired LSM, any LSM reduction was observed in 314 (92.1%), and half of them showed a decrease of LSM ≥ 20%. Among patients without LRE, 27.3% of participants without ≥20% LSM decrease at 2 years achieved the 5-year goal; in contrast, 31.6% of participants with ≥20% LSM decrease at 2 years lost it at 5 years. These findings provide evidence that baseline LSM is a tool to stratify patients at risk of developing LRE; the dynamic changes of LSM value suggest the need for monitoring this parameter over time.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49328,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Viruses-Basel\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11437428/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Viruses-Basel\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3390/v16091439\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"VIROLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Viruses-Basel","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3390/v16091439","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"VIROLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Prediction of Clinical Trajectory in HCV-Related ACLD after SVR: Role of Liver Stiffness in a 5-Years Prospective Study.
The prediction of liver-related events (LRE) after sustained virological response (SVR) in HCV-advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) patients is crucial. We aimed to evaluate incidence and risk factors of LRE in HCV-cirrhotic patients after SVR and to assess dynamic changes of liver stiffness in participants without LRE at the end of follow-up. We enrolled 575 consecutive patients with HCV-ACLD treated with DAAs and followed up for 5 years after SVR12. Overall, 98 (17%) patients developed any type of event, and HCC was the most frequent LRE. The incidence rate was 1.6 per 100 person-years (p/y) for both HCC and hepatic decompensation. Baseline LSM ≥ 20 kPa was the only independent predictor of hepatic decompensation, while LSM ≥ 20 kPa and male sex were independent predictors of HCC development. Among the 341 participants without LRE and with paired LSM, any LSM reduction was observed in 314 (92.1%), and half of them showed a decrease of LSM ≥ 20%. Among patients without LRE, 27.3% of participants without ≥20% LSM decrease at 2 years achieved the 5-year goal; in contrast, 31.6% of participants with ≥20% LSM decrease at 2 years lost it at 5 years. These findings provide evidence that baseline LSM is a tool to stratify patients at risk of developing LRE; the dynamic changes of LSM value suggest the need for monitoring this parameter over time.
期刊介绍:
Viruses (ISSN 1999-4915) is an open access journal which provides an advanced forum for studies of viruses. It publishes reviews, regular research papers, communications, conference reports and short notes. Our aim is to encourage scientists to publish their experimental and theoretical results in as much detail as possible. There is no restriction on the length of the papers. The full experimental details must be provided so that the results can be reproduced. We also encourage the publication of timely reviews and commentaries on topics of interest to the virology community and feature highlights from the virology literature in the ''News and Views'' section. Electronic files or software regarding the full details of the calculation and experimental procedure, if unable to be published in a normal way, can be deposited as supplementary material.