全球健康指标与儿童死亡率趋势:来自 200 个国家的全球面板数据分析的启示》。

0 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES International journal of social determinants of health and health services Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-27 DOI:10.1177/27551938241284250
Myung-Bae Park, Young-Joo Won
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在探讨医疗资源和疫苗覆盖率与婴儿死亡率(IMR)和五岁以下儿童死亡率(U-5MR)之间的关系。这项纵向研究基于 200 个国家的国家级面板数据。根据地理和流行病学的相似性,将 1990 年至 2021 年的数据分为七个区域。在相关性方面,高收入地区呈现出与其他地区不同的趋势。在全球范围内,医疗支出与 IMR 和 U-5MR 呈正相关。在全球范围内,每千人中的医生人数与 IMR 和 U-5MR 呈负相关。在全球范围内,乙型肝炎病毒(HBV)和麻疹第一剂(MCV)与 IMR 呈负相关,HBV、MCV 和卡介苗与 U-5MR 呈负相关。在二次回归中,医生人数与死亡率之间的相关性在大约 4 人时趋于稳定或趋于平稳。总体疫苗接种率与死亡率呈正相关,直至达到某一临界值,超过该临界值则呈负相关。医生人数越多,死亡率越低,而其他因素则因地区而异。我们的研究结果凸显了针对各地区特点实施全球战略以降低婴儿死亡率和五岁以下幼儿死亡率的重要性。
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Global Health Indicators and Child Mortality Trends: Insights from a Global Panel Data Analysis of 200 Countries.

The aim of this study was to explore how medical resources and vaccine coverage relate to infant mortality rate (IMR) and under-five mortality rate (U-5MR), which are both key national health indicators. This longitudinal study was based on panel data from the national level of 200 countries. Data from 1990 to 2021 were grouped into seven regions based on geographic and epidemiological similarities. Regarding correlation, the high-income region showed a different trend from that shown by other regions. Health expenditure was positively associated with IMR and U-5MR globally. Number of medical doctors per 1,000 people was negatively associated with IMR and U-5MR globally. Hepatitis type B (HBV) and measles, first dose (MCV) were negatively associated with IMR and HBV, MCV, and Bacillus Calmette-Guérin were negatively associated with U-5MR globally. In quadratic regression, the correlation between the number of doctors and mortality stabilizes or plateaus at approximately four individuals. Overall vaccine coverage was positively correlated with mortality up to a certain threshold, beyond which it became negatively correlated. A higher number of doctors was consistently associated with decreased mortality, regardless of location, while other factors varied by region. Our study findings highlight the importance of implementing global strategies that are specific to each region's characteristics to reduce IMR and U-5MR.

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