The Influence of Wait Time on Surgical Outcomes in Elective Lumbar Degenerative Spine Conditions: A Retrospective Multicentre Cohort Study.

Study design: Retrospective cohort study.

Objectives: The impact of delayed access to operative treatment on patient reported outcomes (PROs) for lumbar degenerative conditions remains unclear. The goal of this study is to evaluate the association between wait times for elective lumbar spine surgery and post-operative PROs.

Methods: This study is a retrospective analysis of patients surgically treated for a degenerative lumbar conditions. Wait times were calculated from primary care referral to surgery, termed the cumulative wait time (CWT). CWT benchmarks were created at 3, 6 and 12 months. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to measure the associations between CWT and meeting the minimally clinically important difference (MCID) for the Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) score at 12 months post-operatively.

Results: A total of 2281 patients were included in the study cohort. The average age was 59.4 years (SD 14.8). The median CWT was 43.1 weeks (IQR 17.8 - 60.6) and only 30.9% had treatment within 6 months. Patients were more likely achieve the MCID for the ODI at 12 months post-operatively if they had surgery within 6 months of referral from primary care (OR 1.22; 95% CI 1.11 - 1.34). This relationship was also found at a benchmark CWT time of 3 months (OR 1.33; 95% CI 1.15 - 1.54) though not at 12 months (OR 1.08; 95% CI 0.97 - 1.20).

Conclusions: Patients who received operative treatment within a 3- and 6-month benchmark between referral and surgery were more likely to experience noticeable improvement in post-operative function.