syN-BEATS 用于在数据有限的情况下进行稳健的污染物预测。

IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Pub Date : 2024-10-02 DOI:10.1007/s10661-024-13164-2
Josef Berman, Ben Pinhasov, Moshe Tshuva, Yehudit Aperstein
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究介绍了 syN-BEATS,这是一种新颖的集合深度学习模型,专为在数据可用性有限的条件下进行有效的污染物预测而量身定制。基于 N-BEATS 架构,syN-BEATS 集成了堆栈和区块数量不同的各种配置,有效地结合了弱学习和强学习方法。我们的实验表明,syN-BEATS 的表现优于标准模型,尤其是在使用贝叶斯优化法对集合权重进行微调时。该模型始终保持较低的相对均方根误差,证明了其在数据限制条件下进行精确污染物预测的能力。这项研究的一个重要方面是,每个地区只使用一个气象监测站和一个空气质量监测站的数据,模拟监测能力有限的环境。通过在不同气候和空气质量水平的地区应用这种方法,我们全面评估了模型在不同环境条件下的灵活性和适应性。结果突出表明,syN-BEATS 能够支持开发有效的健康警报系统,即使在监测基础设施有限的地区也能检测到特定的空气传播污染物。这一进步对于加强资源不足地区的环境监测和公共卫生管理至关重要。
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syN-BEATS for robust pollutant forecasting in data-limited context.

This research introduces syN-BEATS, a novel ensemble deep learning model tailored for effective pollutant forecasting under conditions of limited data availability. Based on the N-BEATS architecture, syN-BEATS integrates various configurations with differing numbers of stacks and blocks, effectively combining weak and strong learning approaches. Our experiments show that syN-BEATS outperforms standard models, especially when using Bayesian optimization to fine-tune ensemble weights. The model consistently achieves low relative root mean square errors, proving its capacity for precise pollutant forecasting despite data constraints. A key aspect of this study is the use of data from only one meteorological and one air quality monitoring station per region, simulating environments with restricted monitoring capabilities. By applying this approach in regions with diverse climates and air quality levels, we thoroughly assess the model's flexibility and resilience under different environmental conditions. The results highlight syN-BEATS' ability to support the development of effective health alert systems that can detect specific airborne pollutants, even in areas with limited monitoring infrastructure. This advancement is crucial for enhancing environmental monitoring and public health management in under-resourced areas.

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来源期刊
Environmental Monitoring and Assessment
Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
6.70%
发文量
1000
审稿时长
7.3 months
期刊介绍: Environmental Monitoring and Assessment emphasizes technical developments and data arising from environmental monitoring and assessment, the use of scientific principles in the design of monitoring systems at the local, regional and global scales, and the use of monitoring data in assessing the consequences of natural resource management actions and pollution risks to man and the environment.
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