Multitemporal UAV study of phenolic compounds in slash pine canopies

Phenolic compounds (PC) are important secondary metabolites in plants, playing a crucial role in plant defense mechanisms against pathogens and other plants. Monitoring PC levels is important for understanding tree stress and implementing effective breeding programs. However, traditional methods for monitoring PC are time-consuming, prone to altering the phenolic composition, and mostly applicable only on a small scale. In this study, we evaluated the performance of Unoccupied Aerial Vehicles (UAV) multispectral imaging in estimating the canopy phenolic content in slash pine over an 11-month period in 2021 and a seven-month period in 2022. Three machine learning models including Partial least squares regression (PLSR), Random forest (RF) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) were compared to determine the optimal predictive model for canopy PC. The RF model provided the best predictive results, with R² values of 0.82 for the validation set and 0.94 for the calibration set. Additionally, the study assesses the heritable variation in canopy PC over time, with the monthly heritability (h²) of PC ranging from 0 to 0.26 in 2021 and from 0 to 0.35 in 2022; The highest h² levels were observed in July and September 2021and July 2022. The findings demonstrate significant genetic control over the variation of PC. Furthermore, we observed higher breeding values and genetic gains in July and November, which further supports the strong correlation between PC and environmental factors such as temperature and light intensity. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to employ time-series UAV multispectral imaging to predict secondary metabolites in pine trees and estimate their genetic variation over time. As a proof of concept, these findings provide more reliable information for tree breeding programs, ultimately enhancing their overall performance.