使用 5 个弥漫大 B 细胞淋巴瘤外部 PET/CT 数据集验证基于人工智能的预测模型。

Maria C Ferrández, Sandeep S V Golla, Jakoba J Eertink, Sanne E Wiegers, Gerben J C Zwezerijnen, Martijn W Heymans, Pieternella J Lugtenburg, Lars Kurch, Andreas Hüttmann, Christine Hanoun, Ulrich Dührsen, Sally F Barrington, N George Mikhaeel, Luca Ceriani, Emanuele Zucca, Sándor Czibor, Tamás Györke, Martine E D Chamuleau, Josée M Zijlstra, Ronald Boellaard
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摘要

本研究的目的是在 5 项独立临床试验中验证之前开发的深度学习模型。该模型的预测性能与国际预后指数(IPI)和两个包含放射学 PET/CT 特征的模型(临床 PET 模型和 PET 模型)进行了比较。方法:共纳入 1,132 例弥漫大 B 细胞淋巴瘤患者:其中 296 例用于训练,836 例用于外部验证。主要结果是2年的进展时间。深度学习模型根据 PET/CT 扫描的最大强度投影进行训练。临床 PET 模型包括代谢肿瘤体积、最隆起病灶到另一病灶的最大距离、SUVpeak、年龄和表现状态。PET 模型包括代谢性肿瘤体积、最隆起病灶到另一病灶的最大距离和 SUVpeak。 模型性能通过曲线下面积(AUC)和 Kaplan-Meier 曲线进行评估。结果在所有外部数据上,IPI 的 AUC 为 0.60。深度学习模型的AUC明显更高,为0.66(P < 0.01)。在每项临床试验中,该模型始终优于 IPI。在所有临床试验中,Radiomic 模型的 AUC 一直较高。深度学习和临床 PET 模型显示出同等的性能(AUC,0.69;P > 0.05)。在所有模型中,PET 模型的 AUC 最高(AUC,0.71;P <0.05)。结论深度学习模型在所有试验中都能预测结果,其性能高于 IPI,生存曲线分离效果更好。该模型可以预测弥漫大B细胞淋巴瘤的治疗结果,而无需进行肿瘤分界,但其代价是预后效果低于放射组学。
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Validation of an Artificial Intelligence-Based Prediction Model Using 5 External PET/CT Datasets of Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma.

The aim of this study was to validate a previously developed deep learning model in 5 independent clinical trials. The predictive performance of this model was compared with the international prognostic index (IPI) and 2 models incorporating radiomic PET/CT features (clinical PET and PET models). Methods: In total, 1,132 diffuse large B-cell lymphoma patients were included: 296 for training and 836 for external validation. The primary outcome was 2-y time to progression. The deep learning model was trained on maximum-intensity projections from PET/CT scans. The clinical PET model included metabolic tumor volume, maximum distance from the bulkiest lesion to another lesion, SUVpeak, age, and performance status. The PET model included metabolic tumor volume, maximum distance from the bulkiest lesion to another lesion, and SUVpeak Model performance was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC) and Kaplan-Meier curves. Results: The IPI yielded an AUC of 0.60 on all external data. The deep learning model yielded a significantly higher AUC of 0.66 (P < 0.01). For each individual clinical trial, the model was consistently better than IPI. Radiomic model AUCs remained higher for all clinical trials. The deep learning and clinical PET models showed equivalent performance (AUC, 0.69; P > 0.05). The PET model yielded the highest AUC of all models (AUC, 0.71; P < 0.05). Conclusion: The deep learning model predicted outcome in all trials with a higher performance than IPI and better survival curve separation. This model can predict treatment outcome in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma without tumor delineation but at the cost of a lower prognostic performance than with radiomics.

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