台风加暴雨事件下配电系统的时空复原力评估

IF 9.9 1区 计算机科学 Q1 AUTOMATION & CONTROL SYSTEMS IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI:10.1109/TII.2024.3450079
Wei Zhang;Cong Zhang;Quan Zhou;Jiayong Li;Lipeng Zhu;Shiran Cao;Zhikang Shuai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出了一种新的配电系统(DS)时空恢复力评估方案,以解决由于单一台风风速模型不精确和忽略台风暴雨耦合影响而导致的过于乐观和可能误导的评估问题。首先,提出了一种用于台风风速精确建模的动态加权迭代算法(DWIA),并进一步提出了一种基于DWIA的等效风速(EWS)模型,以提高台风暴雨耦合效应下风速计算的精度。然后,建立了基于wws的配电线路、电线杆和光伏等被动和主动组件的不确定失效概率模型,并考虑了台风和暴雨事件(TCREs)对主动组件输出的不利影响。此外,定义了一组归一化的弹性指标,并采用时序蒙特卡罗模拟来评估DS对内陆移动的tre的弹性。最后,对改进后的IEEE 33总线系统和受TCRE影响的华南地区实际配电系统进行了测试和分析,验证了所提方案的有效性。数值结果表明,该方案能够有效地量化tre对DS的不利影响,为DS的主动恢复力控制提供帮助。
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Spatial–Temporal Resilience Assessment of Distribution Systems Under Typhoon Coupled With Rainstorm Events
This article proposes a novel spatial–temporal resilience assessment scheme for the distribution system (DS) to address the issue of overoptimistic and potentially misleading assessment due to the imprecision of a single typhoon wind speed model and the neglect of the coupled impact of typhoon rainstorm. First, a dynamic weighted iterative algorithm (DWIA) is proposed for accurate modeling of the typhoon wind speed, and a DWIA-based equivalent wind speed (EWS) model is further proposed for improving the accuracy of wind speed calculation under the coupling effect of typhoon rainstorm. Then, EWS-based uncertain failure probability models are developed for passive and active components, such as distribution lines, poles, and photovoltaics, and the adverse impacts of typhoon coupled with rainstorm events (TCREs) on the outputs of active components are considered. Furthermore, a set of normalized resilience metrics is defined, and sequential Monte Carlo simulation is adopted to evaluate the DS resilience against the TCRE as it travels inland. Finally, the modified IEEE 33-bus system and the actual distribution system from Southern China affected by the TCRE are both tested and analyzed to validate the effectiveness of the proposed scheme. The numerical results show that the proposed scheme can effectively quantify the adverse impact of the TCRE on the DS, and provide assistance for the proactive resilience control of the DS.
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来源期刊
IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics
IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics 工程技术-工程:工业
CiteScore
24.10
自引率
8.90%
发文量
1202
审稿时长
5.1 months
期刊介绍: The IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics is a multidisciplinary journal dedicated to publishing technical papers that connect theory with practical applications of informatics in industrial settings. It focuses on the utilization of information in intelligent, distributed, and agile industrial automation and control systems. The scope includes topics such as knowledge-based and AI-enhanced automation, intelligent computer control systems, flexible and collaborative manufacturing, industrial informatics in software-defined vehicles and robotics, computer vision, industrial cyber-physical and industrial IoT systems, real-time and networked embedded systems, security in industrial processes, industrial communications, systems interoperability, and human-machine interaction.
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