Qingchao Meng, Li Zhao, Na Zhao, Yunqiang An, Bin Lu , Yang Gao
{"title":"冠状动脉钙密度的进展与主要不良心血管事件。","authors":"Qingchao Meng, Li Zhao, Na Zhao, Yunqiang An, Bin Lu , Yang Gao","doi":"10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2024.118593","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background and aims</h3><div>We aimed to investigate the relationship between coronary artery calcium (CAC) density progression and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and the prognostic value of CAC density progression.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Patients with serial CAC scans were enrolled in this study. CAC density was directly measured in calcified lesions. Change and rate of progression of CAC density were calculated. Cox proportional hazard regression was utilized to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for time to MACE regarding CAC density. The incremental prognostic value and the reclassification ability of CAC density progression were evaluated using the C-index and continuous net reclassification index (NRI).</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>304 patients (57.86 ± 9.47 years, 69.4 % male) were included. There were 47 MACE over a follow–up period of 76.00 (56.00–95.00) months. After adjustment for risk factors and CAC volume, the change of CAC density was inversely associated with MACE (per 10HU: HR: 0.956, 95 % confidence interval: 0.920–0.992, <em>p</em> = 0.018). Adding the change of CAC density to risk factors and baseline CAC density improved the C-index (0.694 <em>vs.</em> 0.678, <em>p</em> = 0.026). Adding the change of CAC density improved reclassification of MACE compared with risk factors and baseline CAC density [NRI = 0.432 (0.016–0.789)].</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>CAC density progression is inversely associated with MACE. The addition of the change of CAC density improves prognostic value compared to baseline risk factors and CAC density and optimizes risk reclassification.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":8623,"journal":{"name":"Atherosclerosis","volume":"398 ","pages":"Article 118593"},"PeriodicalIF":4.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Progression of coronary artery calcium density and major adverse cardiovascular events\",\"authors\":\"Qingchao Meng, Li Zhao, Na Zhao, Yunqiang An, Bin Lu , Yang Gao\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2024.118593\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>Background and aims</h3><div>We aimed to investigate the relationship between coronary artery calcium (CAC) density progression and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and the prognostic value of CAC density progression.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Patients with serial CAC scans were enrolled in this study. CAC density was directly measured in calcified lesions. Change and rate of progression of CAC density were calculated. Cox proportional hazard regression was utilized to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for time to MACE regarding CAC density. The incremental prognostic value and the reclassification ability of CAC density progression were evaluated using the C-index and continuous net reclassification index (NRI).</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>304 patients (57.86 ± 9.47 years, 69.4 % male) were included. There were 47 MACE over a follow–up period of 76.00 (56.00–95.00) months. After adjustment for risk factors and CAC volume, the change of CAC density was inversely associated with MACE (per 10HU: HR: 0.956, 95 % confidence interval: 0.920–0.992, <em>p</em> = 0.018). Adding the change of CAC density to risk factors and baseline CAC density improved the C-index (0.694 <em>vs.</em> 0.678, <em>p</em> = 0.026). Adding the change of CAC density improved reclassification of MACE compared with risk factors and baseline CAC density [NRI = 0.432 (0.016–0.789)].</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>CAC density progression is inversely associated with MACE. The addition of the change of CAC density improves prognostic value compared to baseline risk factors and CAC density and optimizes risk reclassification.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":8623,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Atherosclerosis\",\"volume\":\"398 \",\"pages\":\"Article 118593\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-11-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Atherosclerosis\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0021915024011651\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Atherosclerosis","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0021915024011651","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Progression of coronary artery calcium density and major adverse cardiovascular events
Background and aims
We aimed to investigate the relationship between coronary artery calcium (CAC) density progression and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and the prognostic value of CAC density progression.
Methods
Patients with serial CAC scans were enrolled in this study. CAC density was directly measured in calcified lesions. Change and rate of progression of CAC density were calculated. Cox proportional hazard regression was utilized to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for time to MACE regarding CAC density. The incremental prognostic value and the reclassification ability of CAC density progression were evaluated using the C-index and continuous net reclassification index (NRI).
Results
304 patients (57.86 ± 9.47 years, 69.4 % male) were included. There were 47 MACE over a follow–up period of 76.00 (56.00–95.00) months. After adjustment for risk factors and CAC volume, the change of CAC density was inversely associated with MACE (per 10HU: HR: 0.956, 95 % confidence interval: 0.920–0.992, p = 0.018). Adding the change of CAC density to risk factors and baseline CAC density improved the C-index (0.694 vs. 0.678, p = 0.026). Adding the change of CAC density improved reclassification of MACE compared with risk factors and baseline CAC density [NRI = 0.432 (0.016–0.789)].
Conclusions
CAC density progression is inversely associated with MACE. The addition of the change of CAC density improves prognostic value compared to baseline risk factors and CAC density and optimizes risk reclassification.
期刊介绍:
Atherosclerosis has an open access mirror journal Atherosclerosis: X, sharing the same aims and scope, editorial team, submission system and rigorous peer review.
Atherosclerosis brings together, from all sources, papers concerned with investigation on atherosclerosis, its risk factors and clinical manifestations. Atherosclerosis covers basic and translational, clinical and population research approaches to arterial and vascular biology and disease, as well as their risk factors including: disturbances of lipid and lipoprotein metabolism, diabetes and hypertension, thrombosis, and inflammation. The Editors are interested in original or review papers dealing with the pathogenesis, environmental, genetic and epigenetic basis, diagnosis or treatment of atherosclerosis and related diseases as well as their risk factors.