利用次要结果融合个性化治疗规则。

Daiqi Gao, Yuanjia Wang, Donglin Zeng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

个体化治疗规则(ITR)是根据患者的个体特征变量为其推荐治疗方法的决策规则。在许多实践中,针对主要结果的理想 ITR 也会对其他次要结果造成最小伤害。因此,我们的目标是学习一种 ITR,它不仅能使主要结果的价值函数最大化,还能尽可能接近次要结果的最优规则。为了实现这一目标,我们引入了融合惩罚,鼓励基于不同结果的 ITR 产生相似的建议。我们提出了两种使用替代损失函数估算 ITR 的算法。我们证明,与不考虑次要结果的情况相比,主要结果的估计 ITR 与次要结果的最优 ITR 之间的一致率收敛到真实一致率的速度更快。此外,我们还推导出了所提方法的价值函数和误分类率的非渐近特性。最后,我们使用模拟研究和真实数据实例来证明所提方法的有限样本性能。
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Fusing Individualized Treatment Rules Using Secondary Outcomes.

An individualized treatment rule (ITR) is a decision rule that recommends treatments for patients based on their individual feature variables. In many practices, the ideal ITR for the primary outcome is also expected to cause minimal harm to other secondary outcomes. Therefore, our objective is to learn an ITR that not only maximizes the value function for the primary outcome, but also approximates the optimal rule for the secondary outcomes as closely as possible. To achieve this goal, we introduce a fusion penalty to encourage the ITRs based on different outcomes to yield similar recommendations. Two algorithms are proposed to estimate the ITR using surrogate loss functions. We prove that the agreement rate between the estimated ITR of the primary outcome and the optimal ITRs of the secondary outcomes converges to the true agreement rate faster than if the secondary outcomes are not taken into consideration. Furthermore, we derive the non-asymptotic properties of the value function and misclassification rate for the proposed method. Finally, simulation studies and a real data example are used to demonstrate the finite-sample performance of the proposed method.

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