针对利用二氧化碳排放数据估算国内生产总值的新型特定目标多源无监督转移学习技术的简明综述

IF 10.7 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE Artificial Intelligence Review Pub Date : 2024-10-12 DOI:10.1007/s10462-024-10858-4
Sandeep Kumar, Pranab K. Muhuri
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引用次数: 0

摘要

虽然大多数国家的经济增长因工业化而呈指数级增长,但这也导致了其碳排放量的成比例增加。本文利用碳排放量与国内生产总值的比例关系,预测那些在世界银行数据库中国内生产总值数值缺失的国家的人均国内生产总值。其背后的原因是,这些国家要么饱受战争蹂躏,要么政治孤立/不稳定。为了实现从这些国家的碳排放量预测其缺失的 GDP 值的目标,本文利用了固体燃料、液体燃料和气体燃料的碳排放量之间的非线性关系。这是因为即使这些燃料的利用率不同,对经济的影响也是不同的。使用传统固体燃料做饭表明能源贫困,而使用清洁燃气做饭则表明生活水平较高。然而,来自战乱国家或偏远国家的可用数据非常少,因此不足以建立一个强大的预测性机器学习模型。因此,本文采用多源无监督迁移学习来精确估算这些国家缺失的人均 GDP。它适当地扩大了预测模型的训练域,使其更加稳健。我们用不同的回归技术对所提出的方法进行了实证评估,以估算 11 个不同国家缺失的 GDP 值,这些国家属于不同的经济阶层,即发达经济体、发展中国家和/或最不发达经济体。在估算所考虑国家缺失的人均 GDP 时,所提出的方法大大提高了这些回归技术的预测精确度。
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A concise review towards a novel target specific multi-source unsupervised transfer learning technique for GDP estimation using CO2 emission data

Though economic growths of most of the nations have seen exponential rise due to industrialization, it has also caused proportional increase in their carbon emissions. This paper exploits this proportionate relationship of carbon emission with GDP to predict the per-capita GDP of those nations whose GDP values are missing in the world bank database. The reason behind the same was, those countries were either war-torn or politically isolated/unstable. To achieve the objective of predicting the missing GDP values of those countries from their carbon emissions, this paper exploits the non-linear relationship among the carbon emissions from solid fuels, liquid fuels, and gaseous fuels. It is so because even the differential utilization of these fuels impact economy differently. Use of traditional solid fuel for cooking points toward energy poverty, and access to clean cooking gas indicates higher living standard. However, the available data from the war-torn or isolated countries are very little, and hence insufficient for building a robust predictive machine learning model. So, this paper employs multi-source unsupervised transfer learning to precisely estimate the missing per-capita GDP of those nations. It suitably enlarges the training domains for the prediction models to be more robust. We empirically evaluate the proposed methodology for different regression techniques to estimate the missing GDP values of eleven different nations belonging to diverse strata of economies viz. developed economies, developing, and/or least developing economies. Proposed methodology profoundly improves the prediction preciseness of these regression techniques in estimating the missing per-capita GDP of the considered nations.

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来源期刊
Artificial Intelligence Review
Artificial Intelligence Review 工程技术-计算机:人工智能
CiteScore
22.00
自引率
3.30%
发文量
194
审稿时长
5.3 months
期刊介绍: Artificial Intelligence Review, a fully open access journal, publishes cutting-edge research in artificial intelligence and cognitive science. It features critical evaluations of applications, techniques, and algorithms, providing a platform for both researchers and application developers. The journal includes refereed survey and tutorial articles, along with reviews and commentary on significant developments in the field.
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