从行业角度分析中国的产业网络结构及其韧性

IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES Habitat International Pub Date : 2024-10-14 DOI:10.1016/j.habitatint.2024.103192
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新型工业化和城镇化的推进加速了产业链和供应链的重构,使产业网络的空间组织模式发生了重大变化。与此同时,各种不确定因素带来的干扰不断增加,加上部门之间的密切关联,在一定程度上加速了网络内部风险的扩散和空间扩张。本文从部门视角出发,运用复杂网络理论和复原力理论,建立了一个评估工业网络复原力的综合评价框架。基于风险扰动冲击,从静态和动态两个角度揭示了产业网络结构韧性的演化过程,为中国产业网络重构和产业系统优化提供了新的途径。研究结果如下从 2012 年到 2022 年,中国的产业网络结构日趋复杂,第二产业与第三产业的融合度不断提高。然而,各产业之间的整体关联度仍然较低,有效联系仍主要局限于地方产业网络。在整个产业网络中,核心行业组别仅包括批发贸易和商业服务。随着时间的推移,行业间的关联路径和关联强度略有扩大和提高,本地和整体工业网络的综合弹性水平呈上升趋势。静态复原力的增长体现在第二产业和第三产业互连网络内部的传递性和凝聚力显著增强。产业结构的稳定性是提高动态复原力水平的关键因素。文章还试图从网络角度提出优化产业结构的建议。
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Analysis of China's industrial network structure and its resilience from the sectoral perspective
The advancement of new industrialization and urbanization has accelerated the reconfiguration of industrial and supply chains, resulting in significant changes in the spatial organization patterns of industrial networks. Simultaneously, the increasing disturbances posed by various uncertain factors, along with the close interconnections between sectors, have, to some extent, accelerated the spread and spatial expansion of internal risks within the network. From a sectoral perspective, this article employs complex network theory and resilience theory to develop a comprehensive evaluation framework for assessing industrial network resilience. It reveals the evolution process of industrial network structural resilience from both static and dynamic perspectives based on risk disturbance shocks, providing new avenues for China's industrial network restructuring and industrial system optimization. The outcomes are as follows: From 2012 to 2022, China's industrial network structure became increasingly complex, with enhanced integration between the secondary and tertiary industries. Nevertheless, the overall correlation degree among various sectors remains low, with effective connections still primarily confined to local industrial networks. The core sector group within the overall industrial network comprises solely the wholesale trade and business services. Over time, the correlation paths and strengths between sectors have experienced slight expansion and improvement, and the comprehensive resilience level of both local and overall industrial networks has exhibited an increasing trend. The growth in static resilience is evident in the significant enhancement of transitivity and cohesion within the interconnected networks of the secondary and tertiary industries. The stability of the industrial structure is a key factor in enhancing the level of dynamic resilience. The article also endeavors to propose recommendations for optimizing industrial structure from a network perspective.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.50
自引率
10.30%
发文量
151
审稿时长
38 days
期刊介绍: Habitat International is dedicated to the study of urban and rural human settlements: their planning, design, production and management. Its main focus is on urbanisation in its broadest sense in the developing world. However, increasingly the interrelationships and linkages between cities and towns in the developing and developed worlds are becoming apparent and solutions to the problems that result are urgently required. The economic, social, technological and political systems of the world are intertwined and changes in one region almost always affect other regions.
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