VUCA 世界中的政策协调与发展

IF 2.2 3区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Global Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI:10.1111/1758-5899.13430
Michael Mintrom, Ruby O'Connor
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引用次数: 0

摘要

越来越多的评论家宣称,我们的集体生存受到波动性、不确定性、复杂性和模糊性的影响。欢迎来到 "VUCA 世界"。当危机来临时,人们通常会向政府寻求支持,因此,政策学者应密切关注 "VUCA 世界 "的论调。本文评估了 "VUCA "论调对负责政策协调和发展的政策专业人员的影响。如果波动性、不确定性、复杂性和模糊性变得越来越普遍,那么协调和发展工作的哪些方面应该改变?我们指出了政策专业人员如何利用新技术,并将其与长期规划工具相结合,帮助政府预测和减少危机事件的后果。我们现在掌握的许多技术都可以有效地用于协助改进政策协调和制定工作,以快速、有效地应对类似于 "非一致性、多变性和不确定性 "的挑战。此外,还必须在政府内部和政府周围建立更多的 "管理 "能力,以便能够探索未来的情景,从而使社会能够随时准备应对预期可能发生的情况。我们的结论是,"VUCA "叙事可以促进政策协调与发展实践的有益改进。
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Policy coordination and development in a VUCA world

A growing bandwagon of commentators declare our collective existence is subject to volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity. Welcome to the ‘VUCA world’. Since populations typically turn to governments for support when crises strike, there is merit in policy scholars paying close attention to the ‘VUCA world’ narrative. This article assesses the implications of the VUCA narrative for policy professionals charged with conducting policy coordination and development. If volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity are becoming more commonplace, what aspects of coordination and development work should change? We indicate how policy professionals might harness new technologies and integrate them with long-term planning tools to help governments anticipate and reduce the consequences of crisis events. A lot of the technology now at our fingertips can be usefully deployed to assist with improved policy coordination and development to rapidly and effectively respond to VUCA-like challenges. Further, more ‘stewardship’ capability in and around government must be built to enable exploration of future scenarios so societies can stand ready to address anticipated eventualities. We conclude that the VUCA narrative can promote salutary improvements in the practice of policy coordination and development.

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来源期刊
Global Policy
Global Policy Multiple-
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
10.50%
发文量
125
期刊最新文献
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