科技战争:全球科技竞争的分配后果

IF 1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Asian Economic Journal Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI:10.1111/asej.12335
Rod Tyers, Yixiao Zhou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对尖端技术的国际竞争是现代大国竞争的一个特点。然而,这种技术所带来的自动化却是不平等加剧的一个重要原因。虽然政策动机主要源于大国政治和国防竞争,但自动化也会对更广泛的经济表现产生影响。我们使用一个包含多个家庭的六地区全球宏观模型,在罗尔斯、边沁、资本友好或国内生产总值最大化的政策标准下,研究了全球经济后果。结果表明,尽管科技驱动会加剧不平等和低技能贫困,但它能带来更高的资本回报和更多的增长,因此在除罗尔斯标准之外的所有标准下都是占主导地位的战略。然后,我们考虑了减少基尼系数的财政干预措施。这些干预措施几乎没有国际溢出效应,只有在罗尔斯标准下才对国内有吸引力。
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Tech wars: Distributional consequences of global tech rivalry

International competition over sophisticated tech is a modern feature of great power rivalry. Yet the automation delivered by this tech is a key source of rising inequality. While policy motivations stem primarily from great power political and defense competition, the automation has consequences for wider economic performance. We examine global economic consequences, using a six-region global macro model with multiple households, under Rawlsian, Benthamite, capital friendly, or GDP maximizing policy criteria. Tech drives are shown to deliver higher capital returns and more growth, and therefore to represent dominant strategies under all but a Rawlsian criterion, despite their exacerbation of inequality and low-skilled poverty. We then consider Gini-reducing fiscal interventions. These are shown to have few international spill-over effects and to be domestically attractive only under the Rawlsian criterion.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
7.70%
发文量
19
期刊介绍: The Asian Economic Journal provides detailed coverage of a wide range of topics in economics relating to East Asia, including investigation of current research, international comparisons and country studies. It is a forum for debate amongst theorists, practitioners and researchers and publishes high-quality theoretical, empirical and policy orientated contributions. The Asian Economic Journal facilitates the exchange of information among researchers on a world-wide basis and offers a unique opportunity for economists to keep abreast of research on economics pertaining to East Asia.
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Issue Information Issue Information Analysis of the transformation of demand willingness for housing reverse mortgages in China based on a scenario simulation experiment Energy demand pattern analysis in South Korea using hidden Markov model-based classification Tech wars: Distributional consequences of global tech rivalry
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