影响华北地区农民在冬季休耕地上种植饲用三尖杉意愿的因素:以山西省中部为例

Qishen Jiang, Haibin Dong, Qidong Li, Zongxian Zhang, Changyu Gao, Yanting Yin, Xiangyang Hou
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摘要

背景 利用冬季休耕地种植饲草对确保粮食安全非常重要。与其他可用的饲料作物相比,饲用三尖草(× Triticosecale)产量较高,可在冬季休耕地中广泛种植。最近,中国山西省的饲用三尖杉种植面积已超过 3500 公顷;然而,农民种植冬季饲草的意愿(WTP)低等问题仍然存在。 方法 在太原、吕梁和晋中共调查了 219 户农民。我们分析了影响农民种植三麦 WTP 的因素,重点是个人、家庭、土地和认知特征。我们使用二元逻辑回归模型量化了各种因素对农民行为的影响,并进行了稳健性检验和异质性分析。 结果 "年龄 "与农民的 WTP 呈负相关--50 岁及以上农民的 WTP 较低。"土地租赁情况 "也与 WTP 负相关。与 WTP 正相关的因素有 "土地面积"、"牲畜饲养"、"劳动力规模 "和 "发展前景"。 结论 许多农民年龄在 50 岁以上,是土地的出租者,冬季饲草的 WTP 较低。饲养牲畜、劳动力多、土地面积大、种植前景好的农民 WTP 高。本研究确定了影响农民 WTP 的因素,以帮助研究地区发展饲用三尖杉产业,提高土地资源利用率和效率。研究结果可能具有更广泛的相关性和应用性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Factors influencing farmer willingness to plant forage triticale in winter fallow fields in Northern China: An example from central Shanxi Province

Background

Using winter fallow fields for plant forage is important to ensure food security. Forage triticale (× Triticosecale) has higher yields than other available forage crops and can be planted widely in winter fallow fields. Recently, the planted area of forage triticale in Shanxi Province, China, has exceeded 3500 ha; however, problems such as low farmer willingness to plant (WTP) winter forage still remain.

Methods

A total of 219 farmers were surveyed in Taiyuan, Lvliang, and Jinzhong. We analyzed the factors influencing farmer WTP forage triticale, focusing on personal, family, land, and cognition characteristics. We used a binary logistic regression model to quantify the influence of various factors on farmer behavior and conducted a robustness check and heterogeneity analysis.

Results

“Age” was negatively correlated with farmer WTP—farmers 50 years of age and older showed less WTP. “Land lease situation” was also negatively correlated with WTP. Factors that positively correlated with WTP were “land areas,” “raising of livestock,” “size of labor force,” and “development prospect.”

Conclusions

Many farmers are over 50 years of age, land lessors, and have low WTP winter forage. Farmers who raise livestock and have large labor forces, huge land areas, and good cultivation prospects have a high WTP. This study identifies the factors influencing farmers' WTP to assist in the development of the forage triticale industry in the study region, improving land resource utilization and efficiency. The findings are likely to have wider relevance and application.

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