Ischemic Stroke in Young Adults in India: Predictors of Recurrence and Functional Outcome.

Background and objectives: Ischemic stroke (IS) in young is increasingly recognized as an important health problem in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Limited data is available from LMICs about the predictors of outcome and recurrence of IS in young. The study aims to assess the predictors of short-term and long-term functional outcome and the recurrence of the first-ever IS and transient ischemic attack in young.

Methods: The clinical, radiological data, functional outcome, and recurrence of 569 IS patients aged 18-50 years were recorded. The etiological classification was done. The functional outcome was assessed using the modified Rankin scale (mRS), with a good outcome being mRS 0-2. Logistic regression was used to analyze the predictors of recurrence and outcome.

Results: The most common risk factors were hypertension (40.3%) and diabetes mellitus (34.3%). Stroke of undetermined etiology (33.6%) was the most common etiological subtype. Among the cardioembolic subtypes, rheumatic heart disease constituted 47.4%. A good functional outcome at 1 year was seen in 76.3%. While baseline stroke severity predicted both the 3-month and 1-year functional outcome, age ≥40 years and male gender predicted poor outcome at 1 year. The risk of recurrent strokes at 1 year was 2.5%. On multiple logistic regression analysis, diabetes mellitus independently predicted recurrent vascular events at 1 year (odds ratio = 2.43, 95% confidence interval 1.07-5.50).

Conclusions: We found a good functional outcome with a relatively low recurrence at 1 year among young IS patients. Baseline stroke severity, age, and male gender predicted a poor 1-year functional outcome.