Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease risk with GLP-1 receptor agonists and SGLT-2 inhibitors in type 2 diabetes: a nationwide nested case-control study.

Background: Non-alcoholic fatty liver diseases (NAFLDs)/non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are the most common liver disorders among patients with type 2 diabetes. Newer classes of glucose-lowering agents (GLAs), such as glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs) and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is), have been shown to improve liver-related biomarkers. However, their effects on the development of NAFLD/NASH remain inconclusive.

Methods: A nested case-control study was conducted using Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database for 2011-2018. Patients aged ≥ 40 years, diagnosed with type 2 diabetes, having stable non-insulin GLA use, and without NAFLD/NASH history were included. Patients with incident NAFLD/NASH were matched up to 10 randomly sampled controls based on individual's age, gender, cohort entry date, type 2 diabetes diagnosis date, and disease risk score. Conditional logistic regression analyses were employed to estimate the association between liver risk and treatment exposure. Dose-response analysis was also performed.

Results: There were 621,438 study patients included for analysis. During 1.8 years of median follow-up, the incidence of NAFLD/NASH was 2.7 per 1000 person-years. After matching, 5,730 incident NAFLD cases (mean age: 57.6 years, male: 53.2%) and 45,070 controls (57.7 years, 52.7%) were identified. Using GLP-1RAs or SGLT2is was associated with an insignificantly lower NAFLD/NASH risk (i.e., odds ratios [95% CIs]: 0.84 [0.46-1.52] and 0.85 [0.63-1.14], respectively) and increased cumulative SGLT2i doses were significantly associated with a reduced NAFLD/NASH risk (0.61 [0.38-0.97]).

Conclusion: GLP-1RA and SGLT2i therapies in type 2 diabetes patients might prevent NAFLD/NASH development, with a significantly lower risk related to greater treatment exposure.