通过将生物标志物 PCT、NLR 和 CRP 与 SOFA 和 SAPS-III 评分相结合,开发增强型 Pro-SOFA 和 Pro-SAPS 模型。

IF 1.5 Q3 CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE Indian Journal of Critical Care Medicine Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-30 DOI:10.5005/jp-journals-10071-24807
Anandakrishnan Nandakumar, Shashank Sudeep, Aryalakshmi Chakkalamparambath Sreemohan, Sreedhar Vijayakumar, Gayathri Jayasree Sudhakaran, Georg Gutjahr, Rahul K Pathinaruporthi, Sabarish Balachandran, Subash Chandra, Shyam Sundar Purushothaman, Zubair U Mohamed, Sashi N Nair, Merlin Moni, Dipu T Sathyapalan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:败血症是一种危及生命的疾病,其特点是对感染的免疫反应失调,在全球范围内仍是一项重大的临床挑战。本研究旨在通过整合生物标志物降钙素原(PCT)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)和C反应蛋白(CRP),开发SOFA和SAPS-III模型的增强版,即Pro-SOFA和Pro-SAPS,从而提高现有败血症严重程度评分的预测准确性:这项前瞻性观察研究于 2022 年 8 月至 2023 年 12 月在印度南部一家三级医院的内科重症监护室进行。共有 301 名疑似或确诊患有败血症的成人患者接受了资格评估,其中 171 名患者完成了研究。研究人员收集了人口统计学和临床数据;计算了SOFA和SAPS-III评分,并用PCT、NLR和CRP对其进行了增强,从而建立了Pro-SOFA和Pro-SAPS模型。使用 Brier 评分、AUC 和净重分类指数(NRI)对这些模型的性能进行了评估:结果:增强型 Pro-SOFA 和 Pro-SAPS 模型的预测准确性优于原始模型。Pro-SOFA 和 Pro-SAPS 的 Brier 分数分别为 0.181 和 0.165,表明校准效果优于原始分数。Pro-SAPS 比原始 SAPS-III 评分有明显改善(NRI = 0.50,SE = 0.14,P < 0.01)。同样,Pro-SOFA 也优于原始 SOFA(NRI = 0.49,SE = 0.13,P < 0.01):结论和临床意义:将PCT、CRP和NLR与SOFA和SAPS-III评分相结合,开发出Pro-SOFA和Pro-SAPS,可显著提高脓毒症死亡率的预测准确性,从而有望改善脓毒症的预后:Nandakumar A, Sudeep S, Sreemohan AC, Vijayakumar S, Sudhakaran GJ, Gutjahr G, et al.Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(10):935-941.
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Developing Augmented Pro-SOFA and Pro-SAPS Models by Integrating Biomarkers PCT, NLR, and CRP with SOFA and SAPS-III Scores.

Background: Sepsis, a life-threatening condition characterized by a dysregulated immune response to infection, remains a significant clinical challenge globally. This study aims to enhance the predictive accuracy of existing sepsis severity scores by developing augmented versions of the SOFA and SAPS-III models, termed Pro-SOFA and Pro-SAPS, through the integration of biomarkers procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and C-reactive protein (CRP).

Methods: This prospective observational study was conducted in the medical ICU of a tertiary care hospital in southern India from August 2022 to December 2023. A total of 301 adult patients suspected or confirmed to have sepsis were assessed for eligibility, with 171 patients completing the study. Demographic and clinical data were collected; SOFA and SAPS-III scores were calculated and augmented with PCT, NLR, and CRP to develop Pro-SOFA and Pro-SAPS models. The performance of these models was evaluated using Brier scores, AUC, and net reclassification index (NRI).

Results: The augmented Pro-SOFA and Pro-SAPS models demonstrated superior predictive accuracy compared to their original counterparts. The Brier scores for Pro-SOFA and Pro-SAPS were 0.181 and 0.165, respectively, indicating better calibration than the original scores. The Pro-SAPS showed significant improvement over the original SAPS-III score (NRI = 0.50, SE = 0.14, p < 0.01). Similarly, Pro-SOFA outperformed the original SOFA (NRI = 0.49, SE = 0.13, p < 0.01).

Conclusion and clinical significance: Integrating PCT, CRP, and NLR with SOFA and SAPS-III scores to develop Pro-SOFA and Pro-SAPS significantly improves the predictive accuracy for sepsis mortality and can thus potentially improve sepsis outcomes.

How to cite this article: Nandakumar A, Sudeep S, Sreemohan AC, Vijayakumar S, Sudhakaran GJ, Gutjahr G, et al. Developing Augmented Pro-SOFA and Pro-SAPS Models by Integrating Biomarkers PCT, NLR, and CRP with SOFA and SAPS-III Scores. Indian J Crit Care Med 2024;28(10):935-941.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
10.00%
发文量
299
期刊介绍: Indian Journal of Critical Care Medicine (ISSN 0972-5229) is specialty periodical published under the auspices of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine. Journal encourages research, education and dissemination of knowledge in the fields of critical and emergency medicine.
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