在日本神奈川县 2019 年冠状病毒病大流行期间,带状疱疹新就诊病例的持续增长并未加快。

Yu Sakamoto, Ryo Watanabe
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行以来,带状疱疹(HZ)的流行病学可能发生的变化是一个正在展开的话题。我们利用索赔数据库对日本神奈川县大流行期间新就诊的带状疱疹病例(NMAC)数量进行了定量调查。研究时间为 2017 年 4 月至 2022 年 3 月。在整个研究期间,HZ 的 NMAC 数量呈持续上升趋势,这可能与人口老龄化有关。自回归综合移动平均模型和预测显示,自大流行开始以来,HZ 非传染性疾病实际发病人数的增长与根据大流行前数据拟合的模型预测的增长基本相似,但速度略有放缓。这种放缓表明,大流行期间不就医影响了对 HZ 的监测。
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The continuous increase in the number of newly medically attended cases of herpes zoster did not accelerate during the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic in Kanagawa, Japan.

Possible changes in the epidemiology of herpes zoster (HZ) since the emergence of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is an unfolding topic. The number of newly medically attended cases (NMAC) of HZ during the pandemic in Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, was quantitatively investigated using a claims database. The study period was from April 2017 to March 2022. The number of NMAC of HZ showed a continuously increasing trend throughout the study period, which could be attributed to population aging. Autoregressive integrated moving average modeling and forecasting revealed that the increase in the actual number of NMAC of HZ since the start of the pandemic was generally similar to that predicted based on a model fitted using data from the pre-pandemic period, but at a slightly reduced pace. This slowdown suggests that refraining from medical visits during the pandemic affected HZ surveillance.

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