年龄对铁蛋白、铁蛋白-血红蛋白比值、IL-6 和 sIL-2R 对 COVID-19 严重程度和死亡率的预测能力的影响。

Oleksii Skakun, Yaroslava Vandzhura, Ihor Vandzhura, Khrystyna Symchych, Anton Symchych
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摘要

该研究旨在确定年龄对 COVID-19 患者铁蛋白、铁蛋白-血红蛋白比值(FHR)、IL-6 和 sIL-2R 预测能力的影响。与中度患者相比,重度患者的铁蛋白水平更高(441.0 [188.0-829.8] ng/mL vs 281.0 [172.0-388.0] ng/mL,p = 0.002)、sIL-2R 水平(6.0 [4.7-9.0] pg/mL vs 5.3 [3.7-6.9] pg/mL,p = 0.020)、FHR(38.4 [15.1-63.4] vs 22.0 [12.1-32.1],p = 0.002)。在年龄为 65 岁和年龄≥65 岁的患者中,评估了以下生物标志物对重症患者的判别能力的曲线下面积(AUC):铁蛋白(AUC = 0.585,p = 0.309 vs AUC = 0.683,p = 0.002)、FHR(AUC = 0.589,p = 0.302 vs AUC = 0.688,p = 0.002)、IL-6(AUC = 0.503,p = 0.972 vs AUC = 0.647,p = 0.019)和 sIL-2R(AUC = 0.549,p = 0.552 vs AUC = 0.646,p = 0.017)。此外,还比较了 <65岁和≥65岁患者的院内死亡率判别能力的AUC:铁蛋白(AUC = 0.607,p = 0.628 vs AUC = 0.661,p = 0.105)、FHR(AUC = 0.612,p = 0.621 vs AUC = 0.688,p = 0.002)、IL-6(AUC = 0.580,p = 0.724 vs AUC = 0.695,p = 0.016)和 sIL-2R(AUC = 0.620,p = 0.491 vs AUC = 0.695,p = 0.029)。因此,铁蛋白、FHR、IL-6 和 sIL-2R 对年龄为 65 岁的患者的重症和死亡结局没有显示出可接受的预测价值,但对年龄≥65 岁的患者的死亡结局有较高的预测价值。
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Impact of Age on Predictive Capabilities of Ferritin, Ferritin-Hemoglobin Ratio, IL-6, and sIL-2R for COVID-19 Severity and Mortality.

The study aimed to establish the impact of age on the predictive capability of ferritin, ferritin-hemoglobin ratio (FHR), IL-6, and sIL-2R in COVID-19 patients. Compared to patients with moderate condition, patients with severe condition had higher ferritin level (441.0 [188.0-829.8] ng/mL vs 281.0 [172.0-388.0] ng/mL, p = 0.002), sIL-2R level (6.0 [4.7-9.0] pg/mL vs 5.3 [3.7-6.9] pg/mL, p = 0.020), FHR (38.4 [15.1-63.4] vs 22.0 [12.1-32.1], p = 0.002). The area under the curves (AUC) for discriminative capabilities of the following biomarkers for severe condition were assessed in patients aged <65 years and patients aged ≥65 years: ferritin (AUC = 0.585, p = 0.309 vs AUC = 0.683, p = 0.002), FHR (AUC = 0.589, p = 0.302 vs AUC = 0.688, p = 0.002), IL-6 (AUC = 0.503, p = 0.972 vs AUC = 0.647, p = 0.019), and sIL-2R (AUC = 0.549, p = 0.552 vs AUC = 0.646, p = 0.017). Also AUCs for discriminative capabilities for in-hospital mortality were compared in patients aged <65 years and ≥65 years: ferritin (AUC = 0.607, p = 0.628 vs AUC = 0.661, p = 0.105), FHR (AUC = 0.612, p = 0.621 vs AUC = 0.688, p = 0.002), IL-6 (AUC = 0.580, p = 0.724 vs AUC = 0.695, p = 0.016), and sIL-2R (AUC = 0.620, p = 0.491 vs AUC = 0.695, p = 0.029). Thus, ferritin, FHR, IL-6, and sIL-2R didn't show acceptable predictive value for severe condition and lethal outcome in patients aged <65 years but had high predictive value for lethal outcome in patients aged ≥65 years.

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