Towards the understanding of the IVPT results variability—Development, verification and validation of the PBPK model of caffeine in vitro human skin permeation

In the context of evaluating the safety and efficacy of dermal products, pharmacokinetic (PK) studies face considerable challenges, particularly concerning topically applied formulations. This underscores the necessity for alternative methods, such as in vitro permeation tests (IVPT) and physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modelling, to better understand the dermal pharmacokinetics of a product. The purpose of this study was to modify, verify, and validate the PBPK model of caffeine permeation through human skin previously developed by Patel et al. (2022), and compare simulation results with experimental data from IVPT studies. Moreover, the study aimed to analyse the IVPT data variability and explore the potential of using the PBPK model to understand the influence of biological and drug-related factors on the IVPT results. In total, eight manuscripts describing nine experiments were included. The overall shapes of the permeation curves were considered acceptable based on visual checks for all analysed experiments. Five out of nine experiments met the predefined standard 2-fold difference criterion for comparison of the cumulative amount of caffeine in the receptor solution.. Our investigation highlights challenges in validating PBPK models for IVPT experiments, as the quality and consistency of experimental results pose significant hurdles. Despite access to data on caffeine permeation in scientific literature, reliable model validation is currently infeasible. Inter-laboratory variation suggests that alternative validation methods may be needed. Further studies should focus on issues with other compounds, especially lipophilic ones.