Thyroid function status in patients with hypothyroidism on thyroxine replacement and associated factors: a retrospective cohort study in primary care.

Background: Long-term management of patients with hypothyroidism on thyroxine replacement requires thyroid function test (TFT) monitoring once every six-12 months as recommended by clinical practice guidelines. This study determined their thyroid function status during two-year follow-up visits in primary care, and the factors influencing their thyroid status, and assessed the optimal interval for TFTs.

Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on adults with a clinical diagnosis code for hypothyroidism in their electronic health records taken from a group of polyclinics in Singapore between July 2017 and June 2020. The follow-up thyroid status was categorized as under-replacement (TSH ≥ 3.70mIU/L), over-replacement (TSH ≤ 0.65mIU/L) or euthyroid (TSH 0.65-3.70mIU/L). The patients' demographic, clinical and TFT data were analyzed using appropriate statistical tests during the two-year follow-up. Stepwise logistic regression analysis identified the factors associated with suboptimal thyroid control. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare their thyroid function status in association with the interval between TFT monitoring.

Results: Data from 5,749 eligible subjects (mean age 62.1 ± 13.29 years; 79% female; 79.7% Chinese) were analyzed. After a two-year follow-up, 61.9% (n = 3558) of all subjects were euthyroid, with 29.5% (n = 1694) being under-replaced and 8.6% (n = 497) over-replaced. However, thyroid status did not differ significantly with the various dose regimen (daily, segmented, or alternate days) (p = 0.193). Stepwise logistic regression showed that thyroxine under-replacement was significantly associated with the male gender (AOR = 1.25,95%CI = 1.03-1.51,p = 0.02) and obesity (AOR = 1.34,95%CI = 1.08-1.66,p = 0.008). Every unit (μg/kg body weight) increase in the mean daily thyroxine dose was associated with 2.72 times greater odds of over-replacement. When comparing thyroid function monitoring at intervals of 13-24 months, monitoring at shorter intervals (≤ 12 months) was less likely to detect thyroxine under-replacement (AOR = 0.57,95%CI = 0.44-0.74,p < 0.001) and over-replacement (AOR = 0.62,95%CI = 0.41-0.97,p = 0.033). Among the 3,312 adults who were euthyroid at baseline, 22.2%, 41.7% and 59.6% had suboptimal thyroid control at 6, 12 and 24 months respectively (Kaplan-Meier analysis).

Conclusion: Around six in ten patients were euthyroid with thyroxine replacement for hypothyroidism in primary care over two years. Thyroxine under-replacement was associated with male gender and obesity. The proportion of euthyroid patients developing abnormal thyroid function doubled with TFTs at six, 12 and 24-month intervals.