2023 年塔吉克斯坦西北部一个偏远村庄爆发布鲁氏菌病:一项匹配病例对照研究。

Frontiers in epidemiology Pub Date : 2024-10-11 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.3389/fepid.2024.1470917
Emomali Qurbonov, Jamila Silemonshoeva, Roberta Horth, Zulfiya Tilloeva, Salomudin Yusufi, Dilyara Nabirova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:塔吉克斯坦西北部报告的布鲁氏菌病发病率急剧上升(从2022年1月至5月的1.0/100,000人上升到2023年1月至5月的32.7/100,000人)。大多数病例(82%)来自同一个偏远山村(人口=10,712)。本研究旨在确定感染布鲁氏菌病的风险因素并降低疾病风险:采用病例对照设计,我们在 2023 年 5 月至 6 月期间进行了面对面访谈并采集了血液样本。招募了 57 例病例和 114 例对照。病例为 2023 年 2 月至 6 月期间被诊断为布鲁氏菌病且血清凝集试验呈阳性、血样抗体滴度≥1/160 的家庭中的第一人。每个病例选取两个对照组(来自不同家庭的邻居,年龄和性别匹配)。检测结果呈阳性的对照组被排除并替换。我们进行了条件多变量逻辑回归,以计算调整后的几率比(AOR)和 95% 的置信区间(CI):在报告的 87 例布鲁氏杆菌病患者中,有 57 例(66%)同意参与调查,且家中没有继发病例。在这 57 例患者中,68% 年龄在 15-44 岁之间,44% 为男性。发病高峰期为 2023 年 5 月。常见症状为关节疼痛(95%)、发热(84%)、虚弱(72%)和盗汗(65%)。在选定的对照组中,13%的人检测呈阳性,被排除在外。所有病例和94%的对照组都拥有牲畜(主要是牛、绵羊或山羊);没有牲畜在过去5年中没有接种过疫苗。布鲁氏菌病与食用自制卡马克(凝固奶油)和自家饲养的肉类有关,而与两者均无关(AOR:59 [95%CI:4.3-798],p p p 结论:接触未接种疫苗的牲畜或食用其产品是塔吉克斯坦一个偏远村庄爆发疫情的主要原因。13%的对照组检测结果呈阳性,真实发病率可能高于报告的数字。调查结束后,我们在该地区开展了布鲁氏菌病宣传教育活动和动物疫苗接种活动,2023 年 9 月仅报告了一例病例。
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Brucellosis outbreak in a remote village in northwestern Tajikistan in 2023: a matched case-control study.

Background: A sharp increase in reported brucellosis incidence was observed in northwestern Tajikistan (from 1.0/100,000 people in January-May 2022 to 32.7/100,000 in January-May 2023). Most (82%) cases were from the same remote mountainous village (population = 10,712). The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for brucellosis infection and mitigate disease risk.

Methods: Using a case-control design, we conducted face-to-face interviews and collected blood samples during May-June 2023. Fifty-seven cases and 114 controls were recruited. Cases were the first person in a household diagnosed with brucellosis during February-June 2023 with positive serum agglutination test and antibody titers ≥1/160 from blood samples. Two controls were selected for each case (neighbors from different households matched by age and sex). Controls testing positive were excluded and replaced. We conducted conditional multivariable logistic regression to calculate adjusted odds ratio (AOR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results: Among the 87 brucellosis patients reported, 57 (66%) agreed to participate and didn't have secondary cases in the household. Of the 57 cases, 68% were 15-44 years old, and 44% were male. Cases peaked in May 2023. Common symptoms were joint pain (95%), fever (84%), weakness (72%), and night sweats (65%). Of selected controls, 13% tested positive and were excluded. All cases and 94% of controls owned livestock (mostly cattle, sheep, or goats); no animals had not been vaccinated in the past 5 years. Brucellosis was associated with consumption of both homemade kaymak (clotted cream) and home-raised meat compared with neither (AOR: 59 [95%CI: 4.3-798], p < 0.01), home-raised meat but not kaymak compared with neither (AOR: 54 [4.0-731], p < 0.01), and involvement in animal slaughter compared with no involvement (AOR: 36 [2.8-461], p < 0.01).

Conclusion: Contact with unvaccinated livestock or consumption of their products was a key contributor to this outbreak in a remote village of Tajikistan. With 13% of controls testing positive, true incidence was likely greater than reported. Following our investigation, a brucellosis awareness education campaign and animal vaccination campaigns were carried out in the region and only one case was reported in September 2023.

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